Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Semen Pankin vs Dimitar Kisimov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20fe6881e1eb312f09e1a8aa9bbd2a8fd25655f81e21ee49afb6c326f661ccee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dimitar Kisimovof Semen Pankin, Dimitar Kisimov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3663…8950backed Semen Pankin | 22c | 6,660$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.67 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dimitar Kisimov | 76c | 5,128$3,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.75 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Semen Pankin | 61c | 1,748$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.86 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dimitar Kisimov | 39c | 1,397$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.26 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Dimitar Kisimov | 77c | 870$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.1 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Dimitar Kisimov | 40c | 476.26$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.3 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Dimitar Kisimov | 37c | 309.92$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.25 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…aae5backed Semen Pankin | 78c | 278.64$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.84 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dimitar Kisimov | 64c | 222.52$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.82 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Semen Pankin | 26c | 221.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Semen Pankin | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 243 | 44%107 W · 136 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dimitar Kisimov | 74c | 199.34$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dimitar Kisimov | 75c | 166.67$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Dimitar Kisimov | 33c | 152.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Dimitar Kisimov | 30c | 117$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed Semen Pankin | 34c | 111.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 242 | 31%75 W · 167 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Semen Pankin | 67c | 106$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Semen Pankin | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4f…000ebacked Semen Pankin | 64c | 76.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Semen Pankin | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…0af9backed Semen Pankin | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 128 | 39.1%50 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Dimitar Kisimov | 35c | 55.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Semen Pankin | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Semen Pankin | 65c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Semen Pankin | 54c | 41.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…1e9fbacked Dimitar Kisimov | 34c | 35.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Semen Pankin | 66c | 33.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Dimitar Kisimov | 53c | 32.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b6…9b2cbacked Dimitar Kisimov | 38c | 31.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dimitar Kisimov | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Dimitar Kisimov | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Dimitar Kisimov | 68c | 26.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Semen Pankin | 41c | 24.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Dimitar Kisimov | 46c | 23.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b2…5486backed Semen Pankin | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 77%67 W · 20 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Semen Pankin vs Dimitar Kisimovthis page
- Set Handicap: Pankin (-1.5) vs Kisimov (+1.5)Kisimov won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.