Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aberdeen FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c687b06ef567a976275e90f36c5c3680878d1538faafa0b569c3b5cf4e28442
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 2,883$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.64 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 38c | 1,926$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.4 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 55c | 1,919$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.83 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 73c | 1,661$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.56 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 1,574$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.28 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked No | 61c | 1,305$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 78c | 1,086$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.61 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 50c | 881.32$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.23 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed No | 65c | 597.65$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 55c | 554.32$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.12 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Yes | 35c | 538.65$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked No | 73c | 530.37$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed No | 20c | 495.55$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.55 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 76c | 397.98$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.56 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 72c | 357.49$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.77 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 42c | 350.5$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.05 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed No | 68c | 347.39$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed No | 68c | 342.95$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.74 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…c2ddbacked No | 28c | 316$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…11f3backed Yes | 33c | 303.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 57c | 301.81$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.03 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 32c | 295$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.43 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 60c | 282.07$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.84 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 202.42$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 32c | 132.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 53c | 130.92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 27c | 123.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 49c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 21c | 120$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ed01backed Yes | 36c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 72c | 109.9$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…5607backed No | 73c | 109.25$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…545bbacked No | 73c | 106.39$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 30c | 103.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 100.36$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 52c | 91.87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked No | 68c | 85.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 27c | 82.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 27c | 80.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 75.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…5f4ebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 27c | 71.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…0769backed Yes | 27c | 63.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 46c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 59c | 55.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 26c | 55.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 49c | 53.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 67c | 52.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…3232backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 30c | 46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 49c | 25.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 77c | 23.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 77c | 16.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aberdeen FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-08-01?Yes won
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-08-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.