Tennis · resolved market
ITF W35 Trieste Women: Federica Trevisan vs Alessandra Mazzola
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8c01e27be51d35b0114a6e6a0f79818e2165361c9a33c4367395521c7261ba8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Federica Trevisanof Federica Trevisan, Alessandra Mazzola
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Federica Trevisan | 64c | 9,089$5,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.02 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be5…cf29backed Federica Trevisan | 36c | 4,005$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.79 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…2957backed Alessandra Mazzola | 5c | 3,000$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.18 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Alessandra Mazzola | 63c | 1,421$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1,750 | 50.2%878 W · 872 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 48c | 1,012$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.9 | 4,407 | 52.3%2,304 W · 2,103 L | +66.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Federica Trevisan | 30c | 880.9$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.78 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Federica Trevisan | 20c | 789$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.31 | 728 | 29.5%215 W · 513 L | -42.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Alessandra Mazzola | 63c | 668.14$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 1,789 | 48.7%872 W · 917 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alessandra Mazzola | 70c | 415.9$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.13 | 5,031 | 38.5%1,939 W · 3,092 L | -20.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Federica Trevisan | 19c | 320$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.69 | 536 | 47%252 W · 284 L | +27.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 61c | 224.62$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.02 | 6,725 | 46.2%3,108 W · 3,617 L | -42.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Federica Trevisan | 64c | 204.33$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 1,398 | 39.1%546 W · 852 L | -25.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Alessandra Mazzola | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 395 | 53.9%213 W · 182 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Federica Trevisan | 18c | 194$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.08 | 337 | 54.9%185 W · 152 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 63c | 155.83$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.17 | 8,127 | 50.8%4,126 W · 4,001 L | +84.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Alessandra Mazzola | 67c | 151.48$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.94 | 726 | 38.3%278 W · 448 L | -34.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Alessandra Mazzola | 34c | 147.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16f…9713backed Federica Trevisan | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Federica Trevisan | 64c | 133.31$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 2,076 | 52.9%1,099 W · 977 L | +33.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Federica Trevisan | 50c | 112.79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 1,815 | 46.5%844 W · 971 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 77c | 110$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 4,708 | 48.3%2,275 W · 2,433 L | +36.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…e738backed Federica Trevisan | 47c | 102.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…e58cbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Alessandra Mazzola | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Federica Trevisan | 73c | 99.34$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 173 | 71.7%124 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 63c | 94.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 843 | 57.3%483 W · 360 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8102…c618backed Alessandra Mazzola | 68c | 90.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.37 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Alessandra Mazzola | 52c | 88.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 3,303 | 40.2%1,329 W · 1,974 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Alessandra Mazzola | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 440 | 52.3%230 W · 210 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Alessandra Mazzola | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 992 | 55.9%555 W · 437 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Alessandra Mazzola | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 909 | 54.6%496 W · 413 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Alessandra Mazzola | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 973 | 56%545 W · 428 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,039 | 49.9%518 W · 521 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Alessandra Mazzola | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 336 | 57.7%194 W · 142 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Alessandra Mazzola | 63c | 77.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Alessandra Mazzola | 57c | 75.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 877 | 38.2%335 W · 542 L | -21.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Alessandra Mazzola | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,001 | 55.3%554 W · 447 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 564 | 56.9%321 W · 243 L | +17.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Alessandra Mazzola | 64c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12c…a6f7backed Alessandra Mazzola | 47c | 27.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Alessandra Mazzola | 76c | 26.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e0a1backed Alessandra Mazzola | 50c | 22.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -12.1wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Federica Trevisan | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.