South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club León FC vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8af1f25506a87653300a61bd1ec4293ed48b4fefb320a91105457d7bf06b505
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 27c | 8,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 73c | 6,784$4,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.63 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 20c | 5,720$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.05 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 13c | 3,440$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.31 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 1,731$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.02 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 1,713$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.74 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…4d51backed No | 76c | 611$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 28c | 574$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.26 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 350.95$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.76 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes | 14c | 350.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Yes | 34c | 350$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.9 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 6c | 222.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 69c | 198.17$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 76c | 156.39$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Yes | 8c | 155.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked No | 80c | 152.85$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Yes | 27c | 134.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…36ddbacked No | 74c | 130$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 78c | 128.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…892fbacked Yes | 26c | 115.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 25c | 88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 26c | 82.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 21c | 81.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 73c | 64.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dedfbacked No | 75c | 57.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 27c | 48.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc6…fb63backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6016…1ab5backed No | 76c | 39.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 74c | 35.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 75c | 33.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 74c | 30.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 74c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 80c | 27.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 74c | 22.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 73c | 17.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club León FC vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?this page
- Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-22?No won
- Will Club León FC win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.