South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f19185f815b69c1fe83091e00c19e497fcfb62f1e7b6ca4e94c2464e7be0802
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 2,670$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.85 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 2,179$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.97 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 80c | 1,685$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.53 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 1,386$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.86 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 76c | 983.98$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.55 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 2c | 981.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 72c | 792.16$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.38 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 734.16$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.98 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…00f1backed Yes | 21c | 519.05$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed No | 71c | 515.55$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.55 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 76c | 496.87$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.62 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 21c | 469.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes | 12c | 407.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 360$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 50c | 329.74$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.63 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…db72backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 79c | 221.86$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Yes | 10c | 204$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 42c | 172.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.29 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 49c | 133.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.46 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Yes | 20c | 118.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 80c | 111.38$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 71c | 105.76$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 79c | 104.29$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 38c | 96.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 80.95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 57c | 79.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dedfbacked No | 77c | 77.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 21c | 64.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 79c | 61.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 63c | 60.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 76c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 38c | 53.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Yes | 20c | 51.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 21c | 50.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc6…fb63backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 35c | 44.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Yes | 30c | 39.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 45c | 29.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bde…ecbabacked Yes | 46c | 25.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…9257backed Yes | 45c | 25.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db6…fa76backed Yes | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 79c | 22.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlante FC win on 2026-08-21?No won
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.