South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlante FC win on 2026-08-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35b6be09cff25e3530fd150f2a51c64d830dcdcb42513f79ecafe9d57d098dbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 8c | 56,781$4,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,520.81 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 16c | 18,482$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,037.62 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 18c | 5,593$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.66 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 17c | 4,820$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.4 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 8c | 4,538$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.01 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 77c | 2,670$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.75 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 3c | 1,976$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 12c | 1,526$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.08 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…f7b8backed Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…00f1backed Yes | 15c | 1,089$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 2c | 995.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 14c | 881.52$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.37 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 7c | 589.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 16c | 581.64$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 26c | 549.45$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.13 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 48c | 219.79$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.53 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb3…c372backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…3e21backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 18c | 172.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 10c | 171.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…a282backed Yes | 7c | 159.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 12c | 137.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 20c | 134$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b9…3964backed Yes | 15c | 133.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 15c | 120.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…ab7bbacked Yes | 15c | 119.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dee…30b1backed Yes | 17c | 114.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 56c | 101$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 97.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 50c | 91.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Yes | 14c | 85.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked No | 55c | 72.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 17c | 69.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 54c | 64.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Yes | 49c | 61.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc6…fb63backed Yes | 17c | 59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 57c | 51.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 60c | 45.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 56c | 40.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…7bd0backed No | 56c | 33.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Yes | 44c | 26.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb284…b1fbbacked Yes | 50c | 21.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlante FC win on 2026-08-21?this page
- Will Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.