TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will EC Vitória win on 2026-08-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$388,065
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$373,071

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $388,065 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed Yes44c208,622$91,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117,561.975650%28 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa36f…180bbacked No56c83,000$46,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,479.992740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No53c26,346$14,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,066.892,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No22c23,740$5,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,107.028743.7%38 W · 49 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+112%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c14,830$5,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,276.855,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No56c12,220$6,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,843.3419742.1%83 W · 114 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No33c11,400$3,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,739.482,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No56c9,959$5,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,589.131838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No56c8,593$4,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,816.471,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No57c8,422$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,800.4919952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3ddcbacked No39c8,030$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,150.486526.2%17 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed No58c6,856$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0002864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes63c6,102$3,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.954456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No57c5,735$3,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,269.0112755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90034747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No40c4,941$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.9375240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed No58c4,700$2,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7263073.3%22 W · 8 L+7.0wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+55.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No56c4,453$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.344753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked No15c3,962$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.212738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Yes45c3,838$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,121.728746%40 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes72c3,534$2,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97211039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9532…0af8backed No57c3,509$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00050%0 W · 5 L-3.0wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked No12c2,918$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.666412.5%8 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed No52c2,623$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.612340.7%50 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No34c2,575$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.791,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed No38c2,391$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.512156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes72c2,360$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.768,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes43c2,344$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.141,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No56c2,142$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.443,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No29c2,115$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.9812434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Yes44c2,058$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.263148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9c…b67dbacked No57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1401241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1406243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.995851.7%30 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked No56c1,754$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.467843.6%34 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed No56c1,754$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.469244.6%41 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked Yes76c1,737$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.256251.6%32 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No57c1,568$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.7622457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No58c1,526$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8853652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0160…c757backed No2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick3cpaid+669.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed No56c1,386$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.166253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Yes55c1,354$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.4913748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No57c1,256$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.161250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.3612541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No1c1,102$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0212737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No57c1,034$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.541,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No9c1,021$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8957540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Yes43c900$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5134040%16 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No56c891.99$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.3631039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked No11c778.74$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.721435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes58c711.91$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.8451945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Yes44c687.83$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.182937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed No65c662.69$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.46058.3%35 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No57c655$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.241,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No57c655$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.241,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No57c655$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.242,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed Yes44c654.34$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.434362.8%27 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No38c630.89$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.761,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes48c600.17$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.045248.1%25 W · 27 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+10.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34224053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f6…e517backed Yes70c571.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.436753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No2c561$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.121938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No57c526.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9910146.5%47 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked No56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2806550.8%33 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed No56c486.32$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.8816449.4%81 W · 83 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No57c467.83$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.6627549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x734e…edbdbacked Yes43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.123262.5%20 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.557332.9%24 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5310933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22819559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed No41c394.03$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4919349.2%95 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No57c380.11$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.6627349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No57c363.64$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.272556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed No57c355.99$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.913938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes58c334.7$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3150643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No57c330$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.9718050%90 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes74c318.23$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.13,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes66c315.46$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6612740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No56c313.17$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.8116751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3bc…31fbbacked No58c285.14$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.871566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No51c267.21$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2172058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes78c258.87$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9519437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9661…36f6backed Yes43c254$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.611838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf8b…cb2cbacked Yes79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.162937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed No57c244.4$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.314850%24 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1d…f2dfbacked Yes78c233$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.932650%13 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+39.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes65c227.77$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8936339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes72c222.89$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4960156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf3…50a8backed Yes44c217.39$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.742860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes68c211.82$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6529037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes73c205.19$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0995155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11424956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1126056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1599259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11421358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11218358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11428851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11423056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed No56c200$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1132948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.