Tennis · resolved market
Cancun: Henrique Rocha vs Seong-Chan Hong
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa073090d5194291cc260a578a93b7ef38af5ed1d5febf221d9b37029beb7a8e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Henrique Rochaof Henrique Rocha, Seong-Chan Hong
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seong-Chan Hong | 13c | 6,184$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Seong-Chan Hong | 24c | 1,525$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.16 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Seong-Chan Hong | 16c | 1,365$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.73 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Seong-Chan Hong | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Henrique Rocha | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -48%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seong-Chan Hong | 20c | 633.78$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Henrique Rocha | 74c | 615.43$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.32 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd058…d8fcbacked Henrique Rocha | 75c | 526.31$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.58 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Henrique Rocha | 77c | 507.9$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.61 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…f21abacked Henrique Rocha | 79c | 506.32$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 62cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seong-Chan Hong | 17c | 409.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Henrique Rocha | 78c | 265.75$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Henrique Rocha | 76c | 250.71$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdd…db30backed Seong-Chan Hong | 17c | 197.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 187 | 24.6%46 W · 141 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea88…261abacked Henrique Rocha | 80c | 197.19$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Henrique Rocha | 80c | 184.35$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seong-Chan Hong | 26c | 179.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Seong-Chan Hong | 19c | 135.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…d291backed Seong-Chan Hong | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Seong-Chan Hong | 19c | 112.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f9…d394backed Seong-Chan Hong | 18c | 105.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Seong-Chan Hong | 17c | 104.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Henrique Rocha | 78c | 98.36$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Seong-Chan Hong | 25c | 96.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Seong-Chan Hong | 17c | 93.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seong-Chan Hong | 17c | 84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88da…e801backed Seong-Chan Hong | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0155…07dfbacked Seong-Chan Hong | 16c | 79.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ad4dbacked Seong-Chan Hong | 15c | 78.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Seong-Chan Hong | 43c | 67.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…7dffbacked Seong-Chan Hong | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 144 | 15.3%22 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Henrique Rocha | 78c | 57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 365 | 57.3%209 W · 156 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Seong-Chan Hong | 25c | 45.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…1a7bbacked Henrique Rocha | 74c | 42.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Henrique Rocha | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 302 | 68.9%208 W · 94 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1c…5bc8backed Henrique Rocha | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Henrique Rocha | 75c | 24.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Henrique Rocha | 74c | 23.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Henrique Rocha | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Henrique Rocha | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Henrique Rocha | 75c | 19.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Henrique Rocha | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Henrique Rocha | 79c | 17.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…57adbacked Henrique Rocha | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cancun: Henrique Rocha vs Seong-Chan Hongthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Rocha vs HongRocha won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.