Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b399b4381a13ad5794078ad3e895e90cbb1294d8b88e353bcd52e8c64b8a084
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 31c | 642.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.73 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 64c | 513$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.72 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 8c | 306.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…c258backed Yes | 35c | 268.57$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 8c | 219.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 64c | 208.39$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.52 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bc…8853backed Yes | 37c | 207.86$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.48 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…44bcbacked Yes | 37c | 203.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 63c | 192.6$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 66c | 190.93$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d2…ec9cbacked Yes | 40c | 162.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 65c | 158.18$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 16c | 157.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 32c | 157.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 32c | 152$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 13c | 148.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…04c2backed Yes | 34c | 145.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 26c | 144.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 21c | 136.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 64c | 131$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0615…d288backed Yes | 40c | 123.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 71c | 122.5$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x463a…af96backed No | 76c | 115.34$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc228…7539backed Yes | 35c | 102.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd731…4199backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 92 | 73.9%68 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b5…e373backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 63c | 90$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Yes | 30c | 89.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa254…8d57backed Yes | 34c | 86.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 33c | 83.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed Yes | 38c | 83.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba2d…d402backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…4a6dbacked Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Yes | 29c | 77.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5a…edf2backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 70c | 71.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd372…04bebacked Yes | 19c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…0af7backed No | 73c | 68.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 328 | 72%236 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 33c | 59.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 38c | 59.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da0…ca1ebacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed No | 69c | 58.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe37a…844dbacked No | 76c | 56.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 128 | 76.6%98 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 64c | 54.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 439 | 59.5%261 W · 178 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 69c | 49.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 64c | 49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 63c | 47.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 67c | 46.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5500…b4f6backed Yes | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…cf86backed Yes | 31c | 42.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d8…a8cebacked Yes | 34c | 42.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 61c | 42.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 64c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 27c | 40.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…e428backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 99 | 31.3%31 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…bb31backed No | 67c | 39.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 162 | 72.2%117 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…5585backed No | 65c | 38.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed Yes | 29c | 37.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…740dbacked Yes | 30c | 36.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 37c | 35.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked No | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 201 | 73.1%147 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…f811backed Yes | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 35c | 34.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6283…3e7abacked Yes | 36c | 34.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 35c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 68c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0f…431cbacked Yes | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee88…49a4backed No | 65c | 30.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 36c | 28.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 66c | 28.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 74c | 27.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 67c | 27.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…9207backed Yes | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -22.3wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…0fe5backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 515 | 68%350 W · 165 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6b5dbacked No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 171 | 65.5%112 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 64c | 24.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 66c | 22.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked No | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…c14bbacked No | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 109 | 73.4%80 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1b…1c78backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…1fd8backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 65c | 19.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 61c | 17.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or below on July 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 1?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.