World Politics · resolved market
Will voter turnout be 57-60% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f741b859dc92f9018257354231e5522ff16f72ef44c649a6e193b99f1ed2a5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4708…9580backed No | 5c | 1,102$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 37c | 810.86$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.99 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 68c | 523.4$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.01 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 44c | 374.07$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.43 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…92f7backed Yes | 19c | 335.15$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.82 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 47c | 226.71$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.48 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 39c | 160$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 37c | 121.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 48c | 105$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 41c | 104.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 20c | 79.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 54c | 75.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a69…228fbacked Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 36c | 61.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 57c | 55.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…c01cbacked Yes | 22c | 50.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 79c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked No | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 64cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 70c | 23.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will voter turnout be 57-60% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?this page
- Will voter turnout be 48-51% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will voter turnout be 51-54% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will voter turnout be 54-57% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will voter turnout be 60%+ in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will voter turnout be <48% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.