TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

PARIVISION to win 2-0?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,704
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,083

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,704 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0467…fb2ebacked No60c5,921$3,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,368.36825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-61.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Yes40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No60c2,199$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.1612155.4%67 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+134.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed No59c1,737$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.9418830.9%58 W · 130 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Yes18c1,634$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.915137.3%19 W · 32 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x62a3…a496backed Yes40c1,554$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed No60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40021146.9%99 W · 112 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked No59c911.11$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.565048%24 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No62c851.7$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.744161%25 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes39c851.17$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.0216550.3%83 W · 82 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed No61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.671855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes38c808.16$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.5138142%160 W · 221 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes39c776.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.76726.9%18 W · 49 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed Yes40c732.5$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2932356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef6…01a9backed Yes40c690$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2762733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Yes40c661.56$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.6261449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a0…111abacked Yes39c650$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.56547.7%31 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Yes39c632$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.26529.2%19 W · 46 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-45.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed No61c512$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.6815353.6%82 W · 71 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda24…737abacked Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa245…2152backed No61c450.3$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.693158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9b3…9abcbacked Yes22c448.73$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed No59c342.25$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.7919460.3%117 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No61c335$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.3210643.4%46 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Yes40c309.7$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8841248.8%201 W · 211 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Yes40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12092561.2%566 W · 359 L+53.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes45c279.86$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.0467555%371 W · 304 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ce5…309cbacked Yes9c277.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251250%6 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+53.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe733…f6c9backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008662.8%54 W · 32 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025266.3%167 W · 85 L+20.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked No61c250$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.526741.9%112 W · 155 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked No60c244.28$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.714050%20 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fcc…ee29backed Yes40c244.28$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7117451.7%90 W · 84 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f5…82b5backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+79.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32d6…a8f5backed Yes40c241.5$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.68851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No61c232.57$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.712552.8%66 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Yes39c230$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.731126%81 W · 230 L-17.5wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1c6…d2d6backed Yes44c225.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008445.2%38 W · 46 L-9.1wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes28c211$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.498048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed No62c202.46$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.942458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc70…8be9backed No60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8025354.5%138 W · 115 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed No54c186.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.867440.5%30 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdac7…a2bcbacked Yes58c172.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes39c157.38$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.869952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked No60c154.79$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1224034.2%82 W · 158 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-37.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes19c143.94$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0314336.4%52 W · 91 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a85…ff94backed Yes40c141.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6429352.9%155 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No61c124.97$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7419643.9%86 W · 110 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Yes41c122.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035461.3%217 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Yes40c122$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.838547.5%183 W · 202 L-0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes14c121$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7779341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb0…bd65backed No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.98933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-44%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No75c97.23$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3166545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa8f…cfb1backed Yes39c92.69$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed No61c89.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0911846.6%55 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x260a…eb0fbacked Yes40c86.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.715368%104 W · 49 L+17.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed No60c83.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2151550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3296…c186backed No61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9716552.1%86 W · 79 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd439…21d3backed Yes39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3031644.9%142 W · 174 L-18.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Yes39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022453.1%119 W · 105 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4290…af07backed Yes39c76.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022260.4%134 W · 88 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Yes39c65.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.419248.9%45 W · 47 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes35c60.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1169132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97ee…1f82backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes40c46.31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4271342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2b…9e83backed Yes39c42.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6618446.7%86 W · 98 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3452…1ba0backed No61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.618351.9%95 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e8…a5f9backed Yes40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-47.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xceea…ec81backed Yes40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512073.3%88 W · 32 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes40c36.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5652950.9%269 W · 260 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed Yes40c36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.42441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed No42c35.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7221344.1%94 W · 119 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9332…a3dbbacked Yes44c34.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1576048.6%369 W · 391 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed No61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.780544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eb6…2ea0backed No62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Yes40c29.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6130357.1%173 W · 130 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked No75c26.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4918652.2%97 W · 89 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d9c…5369backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011450%57 W · 57 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5005…bcb1backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5111…a164backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed No56c22.73$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1064744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed No65c21.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.423871.1%27 W · 11 L+8.3wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+36.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No62c20.6$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.838457.1%48 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No60c18.63$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4512556.8%71 W · 54 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.