World Politics · resolved market
Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b8cffc6d3db2d507034b3926c13df121612085426e678ed1aa5c93899e87f25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 6c | 3,512$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.3 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 6c | 2,784$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.27 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 1c | 2,496$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 2,243$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 7c | 2,192$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.82 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 7c | 2,096$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.85 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac1…08c5backed No | 5c | 2,032$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked No | 2c | 1,997$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 6c | 1,980$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.04 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e3…3efdbacked No | 9c | 1,281$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5721…c0dabacked No | 6c | 1,123$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 6c | 1,119$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9444…575fbacked No | 9c | 1,052$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 8c | 858$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 8c | 747.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 7c | 696.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 6c | 686.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 7c | 664.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 6c | 653.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 8c | 540.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e4…b791backed No | 10c | 499$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…3c21backed No | 10c | 491.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 5c | 485.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751e…e863backed No | 4c | 410.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 6c | 372.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b4…2d15backed No | 8c | 310.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 8c | 307.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 4c | 294.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb0…55b7backed No | 8c | 283.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 6c | 275.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 7c | 237.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 5c | 233.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…97e7backed No | 9c | 222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 8c | 211.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 6c | 206.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 11c | 179.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae64…ae48backed No | 10c | 161.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 8c | 155.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…4853backed No | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 17c | 87.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 17c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 18c | 57.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2db…140abacked Yes | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?this page
- Will PH win the 2026 Johor general elections?No won
- Will PN win the 2026 Johor general elections?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.