Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfef1cea9143d9e7cd99b7ec9eab1b25d4d29b2cf0b1ac0aa21e57cfe0872fcf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 32c | 4,094$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,784.91 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…5d54backed No | 9c | 938.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 283 | 24.7%70 W · 213 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 66c | 650$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 69c | 499.81$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.87 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 17c | 484.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fad…1a08backed Yes | 74c | 433$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 69c | 400$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 68c | 372.14$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.94 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209a…9a8dbacked No | 67c | 363.1$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 72c | 350$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked No | 10c | 310$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 42c | 299$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.66 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 70c | 280$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.04 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 268.94$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.18 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 10c | 253.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabf…afd2backed No | 67c | 250.24$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 31c | 250.18$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.62 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 66c | 213$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.58 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 53c | 196$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.67 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 31c | 195.65$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 72c | 188.57$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.77 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 13c | 157$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 18c | 137.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ec…710abacked No | 68c | 132.35$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…ad42backed No | 65c | 131.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.16 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…5296backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 25c | 104.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 64c | 102$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…33a5backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbc…e05dbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 41c | 96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 39c | 90$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 36c | 89.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…bb31backed No | 32c | 89.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 162 | 72.2%117 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 14c | 87.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…fc9bbacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…bfbcbacked No | 62c | 80.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 185 | 65.4%121 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 31c | 78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x331d…8846backed No | 27c | 75.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | +38.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…4c88backed No | 67c | 72.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 35c | 70.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 31c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 69c | 69.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 59c | 68.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 24c | 65.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…04e1backed Yes | 39c | 64.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 371 | 44.2%164 W · 207 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 77c | 64.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 37c | 56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 23c | 53.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed No | 27c | 53.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2057…0629backed No | 68c | 52.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 37c | 50.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 70c | 48.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 62c | 46.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 62c | 46.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 61c | 46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 64c | 45.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 64c | 45.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…aac9backed Yes | 44c | 45.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Yes | 45c | 44.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 62c | 40.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 38c | 39.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f7…b1a8backed No | 63c | 37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…3de3backed No | 36c | 34.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 36c | 34.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 36c | 33.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 63c | 33.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e1…1b3dbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4149…44c4backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec42…5ffbbacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 151 | 76.8%116 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed No | 67c | 29.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 456 | 75.2%343 W · 113 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 70c | 28.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…ca16backed No | 62c | 28.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 149 | 34.2%51 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 42c | 26.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 65c | 25.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58bb…a539backed No | 67c | 22.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 66c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…66f7backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 159 | 61.6%98 W · 61 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8e…2175backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b4…5ff6backed Yes | 67c | 19.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 63c | 18.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb47…b8ebbacked No | 67c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 70c | 16.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 67c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed No | 69c | 14.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 79c | 13.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.89 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 30?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C or higher on June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.