Dota2 · resolved market
BetBoom Team to win 2-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x220bbf0c4be01d0e2002d30e8c99bfc0976ca2a98b2c057787e945d65ee7243a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Yes | 42c | 16,580$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,579.88 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed No | 58c | 14,344$8,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,319.24 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked No | 57c | 5,533$3,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,167.31 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Yes | 42c | 2,398$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.96 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked No | 56c | 1,390$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.61 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed No | 34c | 930.07$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.22 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked No | 57c | 370$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.9 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Yes | 43c | 348$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.19 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Yes | 42c | 329.25$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.6 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 14c | 291$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Yes | 43c | 282.76$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.18 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed No | 55c | 250.63$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.02 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes | 42c | 189.77$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.77 | 222 | 60.4%134 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13b…701ebacked Yes | 44c | 186.05$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Yes | 45c | 182.22$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.22 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd166…e432backed Yes | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked Yes | 42c | 169.7$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 42c | 152.6$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.51 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 41c | 138.49$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.49 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…bcb1backed Yes | 44c | 113.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3296…c186backed Yes | 41c | 111.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 42c | 109$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…fe26backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed Yes | 44c | 106.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked No | 59c | 105.44$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.82 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked No | 53c | 99.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed No | 58c | 91.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked No | 36c | 73.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…4c92backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Yes | 44c | 63.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed No | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…ec81backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 120 | 73.3%88 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 58c | 44.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 43c | 40.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked No | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 444 | 74.8%332 W · 112 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 60c | 37.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 78c | 35.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Yes | 42c | 32.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yes | 37c | 30.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 50c | 30.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Yes | 64c | 26.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…f40dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 447 | 71.1%318 W · 129 L | +27.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BetBoom Team to win 2-0?this page
- Xtreme Gaming to win 2-0?No won
- Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team: Draw (1-1)?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.