Tennis · resolved market
ITF Brisbane: Lily Fairclough vs Jasmine Adams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77b521bde65d5517256416c50e37c5e7a5ab97dcfc871c56b7326084ef2f7527
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lily Faircloughof Lily Fairclough, Jasmine Adams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Lily Fairclough | 75c | 21,522$16,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,367.26 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Jasmine Adams | 26c | 4,998$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.07 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Jasmine Adams | 28c | 4,190$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.44 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jasmine Adams | 20c | 2,895$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.1 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lily Fairclough | 69c | 2,590$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.58 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Jasmine Adams | 32c | 2,529$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.19 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jasmine Adams | 24c | 2,492$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.91 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Jasmine Adams | 25c | 2,368$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.22 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Jasmine Adams | 25c | 2,347$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.64 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Jasmine Adams | 26c | 1,566$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.83 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Jasmine Adams | 25c | 1,394$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.83 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jasmine Adams | 24c | 671.89$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.98 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Jasmine Adams | 31c | 513.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.16 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lily Fairclough | 68c | 246.09$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.61 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lily Fairclough | 73c | 240$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Lily Fairclough | 58c | 194.84$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.83 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Lily Fairclough | 78c | 180$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Jasmine Adams | 23c | 118.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Lily Fairclough | 69c | 110$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Jasmine Adams | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Lily Fairclough | 72c | 97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Lily Fairclough | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…052cbacked Jasmine Adams | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Jasmine Adams | 26c | 77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Lily Fairclough | 72c | 69.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Lily Fairclough | 72c | 65.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Lily Fairclough | 73c | 59.93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Jasmine Adams | 28c | 59.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Lily Fairclough | 65c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Lily Fairclough | 56c | 45.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Lily Fairclough | 66c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Lily Fairclough | 72c | 41.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19df…76d4backed Lily Fairclough | 72c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Lily Fairclough | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed7d…5852backed Lily Fairclough | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Lily Fairclough | 71c | 35.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Lily Fairclough | 67c | 35.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Lily Fairclough | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lily Fairclough | 78c | 34.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Lily Fairclough | 78c | 24.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…83a6backed Lily Fairclough | 75c | 21.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed Lily Fairclough | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 132 | 76.5%101 W · 31 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Lily Fairclough | 57c | 17.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Lily Fairclough | 63c | 15.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Lily Fairclough | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.