Tennis · resolved market
Bunschoten: Daniel Galan vs Abel Forger
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62645f4ac6e7947cec4498d4918dc1f48a047f5a100a7ac5084479b52190b08a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniel Galanof Daniel Galan, Abel Forger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x658e…d758backed Daniel Galan | 40c | 10,736$4,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,441.41 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Abel Forger | 37c | 9,391$3,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,506.49 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Abel Forger | 41c | 7,920$3,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,255.3 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Daniel Galan | 66c | 7,000$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.08 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x792e…fd6cbacked Abel Forger | 61c | 4,061$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.23 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -6.8wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2acd…d0b6backed Daniel Galan | 56c | 2,304$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.15 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Daniel Galan | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Abel Forger | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Abel Forger | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Abel Forger | 56c | 765.69$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.79 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Daniel Galan | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Abel Forger | 41c | 586.96$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.51 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Daniel Galan | 70c | 579.19$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.6 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Abel Forger | 11c | 419.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Abel Forger | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Abel Forger | 35c | 321.23$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.81 | 172 | 24.4%42 W · 130 L | -16.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Abel Forger | 34c | 320.13$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.84 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Abel Forger | 48c | 315.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.05 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…1d33backed Daniel Galan | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 117 | 65%76 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Abel Forger | 54c | 265.32$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.27 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Daniel Galan | 62c | 261.85$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Abel Forger | 60c | 216.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Abel Forger | 34c | 204.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Abel Forger | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Daniel Galan | 51c | 194.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Abel Forger | 28c | 189.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Abel Forger | 40c | 183.37$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Abel Forger | 14c | 165.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed7d…5852backed Abel Forger | 42c | 156.34$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Daniel Galan | 67c | 156.1$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Daniel Galan | 79c | 152.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Abel Forger | 38c | 135.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Abel Forger | 29c | 133.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Daniel Galan | 45c | 106.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Daniel Galan | 55c | 103.2$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Daniel Galan | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Daniel Galan | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 394 | 69%272 W · 122 L | +27.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Daniel Galan | 51c | 83.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Daniel Galan | 49c | 82.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Daniel Galan | 69c | 72.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Abel Forger | 39c | 63.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Abel Forger | 21c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Daniel Galan | 35c | 57.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Daniel Galan | 49c | 55.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Abel Forger | 45c | 44.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1429…1cd8backed Daniel Galan | 67c | 41.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Daniel Galan | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Daniel Galan | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9736…38bcbacked Daniel Galan | 58c | 34.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Daniel Galan | 77c | 30.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Daniel Galan | 65c | 30.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Daniel Galan | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Daniel Galan | 79c | 25.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Daniel Galan | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Daniel Galan | 63c | 18.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Daniel Galan | 67c | 15.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3785…f577backed Daniel Galan | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.