TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Swedish Open: Max Dahlin vs Sebastian Baez

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sebastian Baezof Max Dahlin, Sebastian Baez
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$508,109
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$600,341

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $508,109 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Max Dahlin15c58,732$8,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,870.868,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x060f…5a9dbacked Sebastian Baez71c32,658$23,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,585.977672.4%55 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Max Dahlin4c18,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7505,19928.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L-18.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Max Dahlin13c12,383$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.936,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Max Dahlin13c11,824$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.362,23852.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L+80.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Max Dahlin14c10,338$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.034,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Max Dahlin3c10,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30058232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Max Dahlin14c8,968$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30042131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Sebastian Baez62c6,814$4,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,592.0141251%210 W · 202 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Sebastian Baez70c5,878$4,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.924,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Max Dahlin5c5,572$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.994,15952.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L+66.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b9d…79eabacked Sebastian Baez61c5,500$3,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,137.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-45.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Max Dahlin13c5,394$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.4371329.7%212 W · 501 L-39.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Max Dahlin8c5,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.631133.8%105 W · 206 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Max Dahlin3c3,875$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.252,13736.8%787 W · 1,350 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ace…c46ebacked Max Dahlin13c3,150$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40028221.6%61 W · 221 L+0.6wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db8…0ed7backed Sebastian Baez68c3,056$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.068051.3%41 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Max Dahlin3c2,183$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4878336%282 W · 501 L+36.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Sebastian Baez77c2,132$1,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.481,14346.4%530 W · 613 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Max Dahlin43c2,112$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.172,75453.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L+71.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Max Dahlin42c1,778$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.951,35438.3%518 W · 836 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49e0…9af1backed Sebastian Baez59c1,698$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.7911064.5%71 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf764…61e6backed Max Dahlin31c1,635$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023723.6%56 W · 181 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Max Dahlin3c1,534$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0255748.8%272 W · 285 L+23.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Sebastian Baez68c1,462$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.2159553.8%320 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Max Dahlin13c1,338$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.817818%32 W · 146 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9327…e1a5backed Max Dahlin7c1,315$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Max Dahlin18c1,284$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.61,95843.7%856 W · 1,102 L-21.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Max Dahlin5c1,263$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2811941.2%49 W · 70 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Max Dahlin13c1,229$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.772,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Sebastian Baez65c1,185$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.4612631%39 W · 87 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a14…9fe4backed Max Dahlin7c1,164$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4340235.8%144 W · 258 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Sebastian Baez70c1,078$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.3148555.9%271 W · 214 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Max Dahlin3c986.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.61,84445.7%843 W · 1,001 L+51.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Sebastian Baez61c944$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.865942.2%278 W · 381 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Sebastian Baez78c908.82$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.035,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Max Dahlin13c873.83$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9176355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Max Dahlin31c815.37$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.559,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Max Dahlin38c772.54$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.962,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57ab…68b6backed Max Dahlin15c700.58$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.311214.3%16 W · 96 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Sebastian Baez73c637.12$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.9579857.6%460 W · 338 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Max Dahlin35c630.73$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.1366531.3%208 W · 457 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Max Dahlin4c600.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.022,21242.9%948 W · 1,264 L+34.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x370c…6929backed Sebastian Baez59c579.96$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9614947%70 W · 79 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88da…e801backed Max Dahlin14c574.65$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011843.2%51 W · 67 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Max Dahlin39c564.86$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.4330544.9%137 W · 168 L-11.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa802…4575backed Max Dahlin5c555.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259642.7%41 W · 55 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb25…b180backed Max Dahlin5c511$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.55812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-80.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Sebastian Baez67c499.99$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.545251.5%233 W · 219 L-21.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Max Dahlin13c469.49$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,00453.2%1,067 W · 937 L+52.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Max Dahlin42c423.44$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.691,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Sebastian Baez62c411.95$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.9535755.5%198 W · 159 L+0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8787…da0abacked Max Dahlin5c402.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.141618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-41.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x00e8…0039backed Max Dahlin16c396.7$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659715.5%15 W · 82 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1351…178bbacked Max Dahlin39c388.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016647%78 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Max Dahlin5c373.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.621,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Max Dahlin20c365$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5380153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02fd…104cbacked Sebastian Baez60c355.54$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.529652.4%155 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf49…b4a5backed Max Dahlin32c352.02$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11154955.2%303 W · 246 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Max Dahlin31c331.35$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.213,62145.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L-3.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1226…f998backed Sebastian Baez61c327.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.6729940.1%120 W · 179 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Sebastian Baez60c307.76$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.81,80640.9%739 W · 1,067 L-31.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed Max Dahlin5c276$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.832546.2%150 W · 175 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Max Dahlin26c259.8$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.71,65744.2%733 W · 924 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1350…7169backed Sebastian Baez70c215.52$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.526936.2%25 W · 44 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Max Dahlin9c204.95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.081,01336.5%370 W · 643 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Max Dahlin35c203.53$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.273,63154.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L+110.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe44c…3df4backed Max Dahlin26c200.17$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Max Dahlin35c200$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.034,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Max Dahlin11c191.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.71,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x57e7…84e9backed Max Dahlin34c188.86$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7722638.9%88 W · 138 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd943…8676backed Max Dahlin42c179.02$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.01633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ba7…dd5abacked Max Dahlin35c168.57$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5917554.3%95 W · 80 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Sebastian Baez63c158.4$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.983823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Sebastian Baez60c138.22$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2258931.1%183 W · 406 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Sebastian Baez66c135.55$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5524159.3%143 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed7d…5852backed Max Dahlin39c127.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505558.2%32 W · 23 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Max Dahlin40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5079646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9709…52abbacked Max Dahlin14c124.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.425749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa84d…bebdbacked Sebastian Baez66c124.22$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.934748.1%167 W · 180 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Max Dahlin42c123.52$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522,57546.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L+15.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Max Dahlin21c120.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.662,33246.6%1,087 W · 1,245 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98fe…ffa7backed Max Dahlin29c118.47$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349948.5%48 W · 51 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Sebastian Baez66c114.3$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.328348.1%136 W · 147 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad3f…a377backed Sebastian Baez70c103.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.214738.3%18 W · 29 L-7.4wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-34.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x67a1…1c91backed Sebastian Baez59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6720360.1%122 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6994…fc1fbacked Sebastian Baez60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4010746.7%50 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x293c…dcbabacked Sebastian Baez67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3334553.3%184 W · 161 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Max Dahlin25c98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.662,02546.9%950 W · 1,075 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Max Dahlin31c92.75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.812125.6%31 W · 90 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec3…e330backed Sebastian Baez60c88.15$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3342747.8%204 W · 223 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4462…bfdfbacked Max Dahlin30c79.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8618147%85 W · 96 L-24.1wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Max Dahlin33c75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.691,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89bc…cdb0backed Sebastian Baez68c73.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.414555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x395c…9a66backed Max Dahlin25c72.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.081127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-53.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Sebastian Baez78c71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8392674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc86e…8dfcbacked Sebastian Baez71c67.23$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.234257.1%24 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6123…8b33backed Max Dahlin16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105648.2%27 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a46…9889backed Sebastian Baez65c61.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1113767.9%93 W · 44 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc6e…ab75backed Max Dahlin39c57.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.381931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.