Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TOG (-1.5) vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14883f424ce421e567c505ac2437147d5a695d6ee462483de304aa6ffbabb99d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kaufland Hangry Knightsof Team Orange Gaming, Kaufland Hangry Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 49c | 26,569$12,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,575.77 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…ec43backed Team Orange Gaming | 52c | 19,046$9,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,903.75 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Team Orange Gaming | 50c | 15,027$7,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,563.74 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 47c | 8,880$4,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,706.56 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Team Orange Gaming | 53c | 8,650$4,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,584.5 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 48c | 2,800$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Team Orange Gaming | 50c | 2,052$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.52 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 47c | 999.99$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.99 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 47c | 912.87$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.95 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Team Orange Gaming | 54c | 865$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.95 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 48c | 585.91$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.67 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Team Orange Gaming | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 211 | 50.7%107 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Team Orange Gaming | 53c | 418.87$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 527 | 43.5%229 W · 298 L | +32.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Team Orange Gaming | 53c | 205.65$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.09 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 46c | 179.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.36 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Team Orange Gaming | 53c | 175$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Team Orange Gaming | 52c | 152.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Team Orange Gaming | 53c | 144$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 44c | 132.92$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…586cbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 269 | 37.5%101 W · 168 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…1865backed Team Orange Gaming | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Team Orange Gaming | 55c | 89.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed Team Orange Gaming | 56c | 89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4412…f131backed Team Orange Gaming | 53c | 75.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…af5bbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Team Orange Gaming | 54c | 58.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Team Orange Gaming | 54c | 55.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Team Orange Gaming | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Team Orange Gaming | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 211 | 41.2%87 W · 124 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9e…9aa0backed Team Orange Gaming | 55c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TOG (-1.5) vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group ATeam Orange Gaming won
- LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights - Game 1 WinnerKaufland Hangry Knights won
- LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights - Game 2 WinnerTeam Orange Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.