Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2310d99805f8a654c6af4d4a720a78db21b9bacd8d23a06d1dbc528681b10610
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Orange Gamingof Team Orange Gaming, Kaufland Hangry Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 31c | 2,722$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.8 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked Team Orange Gaming | 67c | 1,500$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.9 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Orange Gaming | 73c | 1,007$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.42 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Team Orange Gaming | 68c | 989.97$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.97 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed94…c059backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 4c | 899.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 166 | 23.5%39 W · 127 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Team Orange Gaming | 74c | 779.22$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.7 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 23c | 755.7$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.11 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Orange Gaming | 68c | 726.84$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.77 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 32c | 667.35$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.55 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 25c | 630.22$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.37 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Team Orange Gaming | 69c | 609.89$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.07 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 8c | 500.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Team Orange Gaming | 68c | 442.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.57 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ef…4a40backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 26c | 440$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.95 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Team Orange Gaming | 74c | 407.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.41 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 36c | 405.1$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.77 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 25c | 320.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.53 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed Team Orange Gaming | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 274 | 65.7%180 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Team Orange Gaming | 68c | 295.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 215 | 59.5%128 W · 87 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2843backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 33c | 295.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Orange Gaming | 70c | 275.4$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 36c | 261.33$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 22c | 227.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Team Orange Gaming | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 23c | 190$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 10c | 184$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…586cbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 36c | 173.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 269 | 37.5%101 W · 168 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 35c | 164.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 19c | 151$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Team Orange Gaming | 67c | 146.41$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 351 | 64.1%225 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 36c | 141.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 527 | 43.5%229 W · 298 L | +32.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Team Orange Gaming | 64c | 119.02$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 25c | 110.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Team Orange Gaming | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90a…f6b5backed Team Orange Gaming | 69c | 96.31$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 14c | 90.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 204 | 45.1%92 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Team Orange Gaming | 69c | 56.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Orange Gaming | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 403 | 64.5%260 W · 143 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Team Orange Gaming | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ff…6b45backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -9.9wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Team Orange Gaming | 65c | 47.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Team Orange Gaming | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Orange Gaming | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Orange Gaming | 67c | 25.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…1192backed Team Orange Gaming | 60c | 16.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: TOG (-1.5) vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (+1.5)Kaufland Hangry Knights won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group ATeam Orange Gaming won
- LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights - Game 1 WinnerKaufland Hangry Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.