Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd0d24597f629373508dea52d6cef4ec09859ae6df0efbc53749ca13f20ec8ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kaufland Hangry Knightsof Team Orange Gaming, Kaufland Hangry Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Team Orange Gaming | 70c | 17,061$11,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,958.41 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 30c | 15,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Team Orange Gaming | 1c | 5,217$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 66c | 4,722$3,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.64 | 1,965 | 48.4%951 W · 1,014 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Team Orange Gaming | 3c | 2,751$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 1,492 | 48.4%722 W · 770 L | +47.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Orange Gaming | 68c | 1,572$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.42 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 29c | 1,499$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.01 | 1,802 | 51.2%923 W · 879 L | +53.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Orange Gaming | 7c | 980$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 1,520 | 3.3%50 W · 1,470 L | -54.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Orange Gaming | 39c | 895.72$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.22 | 1,912 | 37.1%709 W · 1,203 L | -115.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Orange Gaming | 51c | 886.45$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.42 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Team Orange Gaming | 17c | 749.98$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 975 | 27.8%271 W · 704 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed94…c059backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 31c | 650$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.5 | 166 | 23.5%39 W · 127 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 32c | 616.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.77 | 1,453 | 43.4%630 W · 823 L | +106.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked Team Orange Gaming | 62c | 599.99$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.99 | 1,223 | 48.6%594 W · 629 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 30c | 587.69$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.21 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Team Orange Gaming | 3c | 573.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 34c | 567.25$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.7 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Orange Gaming | 8c | 501$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 270 | 34.8%94 W · 176 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 903 | 50.8%459 W · 444 L | +17.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Orange Gaming | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 56c | 464.74$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.59 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Orange Gaming | 29c | 459.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.56 | 2,910 | 38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L | -120.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Team Orange Gaming | 69c | 438$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.22 | 503 | 55.3%278 W · 225 L | -21.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Orange Gaming | 57c | 424.14$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.75 | 1,939 | 42.2%819 W · 1,120 L | -46.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Team Orange Gaming | 11c | 416.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 1,131 | 30.1%340 W · 791 L | -26.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd6…fd33backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 30c | 380.96$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 44c | 354.75$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.46 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…0169backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 38c | 340.36$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.02 | 404 | 35.1%142 W · 262 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…960fbacked Team Orange Gaming | 69c | 287.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 474 | 53.4%253 W · 221 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Orange Gaming | 66c | 268.42$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.34 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Orange Gaming | 25c | 240$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked Team Orange Gaming | 70c | 214.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Orange Gaming | 24c | 214$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 1,658 | 46.9%777 W · 881 L | -25.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Team Orange Gaming | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 351 | 64.1%225 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…a7d5backed Team Orange Gaming | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Team Orange Gaming | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 386 | 59.8%231 W · 155 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Team Orange Gaming | 70c | 197.69$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.38 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2843backed Team Orange Gaming | 70c | 169.65$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.45 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ef…4a40backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 31c | 160$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 32c | 157.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.35 | 535 | 43.4%232 W · 303 L | +33.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Team Orange Gaming | 17c | 155$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 635 | 40.2%255 W · 380 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Team Orange Gaming | 18c | 148.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1,730 | 29.5%510 W · 1,220 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Team Orange Gaming | 50c | 143.33$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 1,257 | 52.8%664 W · 593 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 30c | 139.88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 1,327 | 53.3%707 W · 620 L | +37.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…52d2backed Team Orange Gaming | 71c | 137.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 349 | 67.3%235 W · 114 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 30c | 136.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.71 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e1…fe21backed Team Orange Gaming | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Orange Gaming | 54c | 109.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,182 | 44.8%530 W · 652 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Team Orange Gaming | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 967 | 49.8%482 W · 485 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Team Orange Gaming | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…586cbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 32c | 92.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 269 | 37.5%101 W · 168 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 74c | 90.07$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 1,545 | 43.8%676 W · 869 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…08d6backed Team Orange Gaming | 27c | 74.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 30c | 66.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Orange Gaming | 21c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1,931 | 35.9%693 W · 1,238 L | -98.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 29c | 44.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Team Orange Gaming | 70c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x970f…f167backed Team Orange Gaming | 70c | 41.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Orange Gaming | 68c | 33.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791f…060ebacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 262 | 24.8%65 W · 197 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…161cbacked Team Orange Gaming | 71c | 26.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Team Orange Gaming | 71c | 23.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Team Orange Gaming | 69c | 16.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 648 | 49.8%323 W · 325 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…1192backed Team Orange Gaming | 72c | 15.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Team Orange Gaming | 70c | 14.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: TOG (-1.5) vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (+1.5)Kaufland Hangry Knights won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group ATeam Orange Gaming won
- LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights - Game 2 WinnerTeam Orange Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.