Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a293700edc11b62deef632a8c90470c608cf895599e9f3c4accd77baf04020d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 43c | 10,000$4,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,706.17 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 57c | 9,228$5,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,260.2 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 57c | 4,800$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…761fbacked Over | 77c | 838.4$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.83 | 122 | 60.7%74 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed Under | 23c | 511.16$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.57 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Under | 57c | 240$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 43c | 240$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 23c | 165$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed Under | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 237 | 48.5%115 W · 122 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 37c | 55.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Under | 57c | 50.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 72c | 30.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…08d6backed Under | 65c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0504…3799backed Over | 43c | 23.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Under | 57c | 17.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: TOG (-1.5) vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (+1.5)Kaufland Hangry Knights won
- LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group ATeam Orange Gaming won
- LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights - Game 1 WinnerKaufland Hangry Knights won
- LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights - Game 2 WinnerTeam Orange Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.