Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x504bb4c4510287726866e2fb511cf1d75036255f6c45ea8dd38b8071c53f33f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 33c | 18,377$6,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,034.39 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 67c | 13,504$9,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,465.08 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Over | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 67c | 9,042$6,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,983.86 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under | 67c | 5,554$3,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.82 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f9…26f8backed Under | 67c | 1,644$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.64 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 33c | 1,497$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.01 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 67c | 1,492$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.36 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Under | 67c | 1,400$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Under | 67c | 930$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.9 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Under | 67c | 751.5$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.99 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Under | 67c | 671.64$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.64 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 33c | 597.89$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.33 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 30c | 549.3$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.79 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 69c | 523.56$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.27 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Under | 67c | 448$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.84 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…dc9ebacked Over | 34c | 429.32$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.97 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 33c | 374.17$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.48 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 22c | 350$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…6fcdbacked Under | 78c | 350$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 67c | 298.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Over | 34c | 288.53$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 32c | 199.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Under | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 406 | 45.6%185 W · 221 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Under | 67c | 105.55$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 34c | 96.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Under | 67c | 87.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed Under | 70c | 70.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Under | 70c | 70.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x970f…f167backed Under | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 68c | 59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 23c | 56.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 34c | 48.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 33c | 48.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Under | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 34c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 67c | 37.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…51d2backed Under | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9e…9aa0backed Under | 67c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x868f…5da6backed Under | 67c | 18.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Under | 68c | 14.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Gen.G Global Academy (+1.5)T1 Academy won
- LoL: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2T1 Academy won
- LoL: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 1 WinnerT1 Academy won
- LoL: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 2 WinnerT1 Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.