Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: VIT.B (-1.5) vs ZYB Esport (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4af1dba25f3cc0b98c050c16bd2cc44ce606a18bb0eb657334f57df097277637
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ZYB Esportof Vitality.Bee, ZYB Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Vitality.Bee | 38c | 2,630$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.4 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Vitality.Bee | 37c | 2,430$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.4 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed ZYB Esport | 62c | 2,329$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.93 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…ec43backed ZYB Esport | 62c | 1,050$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.09 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked ZYB Esport | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked ZYB Esport | 63c | 888$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.56 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Vitality.Bee | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…ac09backed Vitality.Bee | 40c | 502.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked ZYB Esport | 64c | 499.98$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed ZYB Esport | 60c | 410.4$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.16 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed ZYB Esport | 64c | 390$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed ZYB Esport | 62c | 290.99$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.55 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Vitality.Bee | 38c | 276.32$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Vitality.Bee | 35c | 225.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.53 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Vitality.Bee | 36c | 223.02$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Vitality.Bee | 38c | 117.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed ZYB Esport | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Vitality.Bee | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked ZYB Esport | 66c | 90.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed ZYB Esport | 64c | 89.8$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…f21ebacked Vitality.Bee | 42c | 88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Vitality.Bee | 36c | 80.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed ZYB Esport | 62c | 80.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed ZYB Esport | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed Vitality.Bee | 38c | 52.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 237 | 48.5%115 W · 122 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked ZYB Esport | 65c | 42.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…51d2backed ZYB Esport | 65c | 38.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked ZYB Esport | 64c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x868f…5da6backed ZYB Esport | 65c | 28.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed ZYB Esport | 62c | 19.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: VIT.B (-1.5) vs ZYB Esport (+1.5)this page
- LoL: ZYB Esport vs Vitality.Bee (BO3) - LFL PlayoffsVitality.Bee won
- LoL: ZYB Esport vs Vitality.Bee - Game 1 WinnerVitality.Bee won
- LoL: ZYB Esport vs Vitality.Bee - Game 2 WinnerZYB Esport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.