WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 172.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c394b9de35301b4b9a474c17394804d3eb11763df3f48a5e4e4febe0bd0763a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 18,800$8,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,978.58 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Over | 53c | 11,400$6,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,063.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 54c | 8,668$4,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,660.42 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 46c | 2,309$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.69 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Over | 51c | 2,279$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Under | 49c | 2,237$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,306$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.15 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 54c | 768.65$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.07 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 674.01$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.97 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…f72fbacked Over | 52c | 480.69$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Over | 53c | 299.97$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 49c | 225$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 213.74$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.93 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 48c | 204$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 51c | 163.82$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 49c | 122.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 48c | 119$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 46c | 87.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Over | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Under | 46c | 49.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 46c | 34.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 46c | 32.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 47c | 30.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 29.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 47c | 26.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 48c | 22.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 172.5this page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Connecticut SunLas Vegas Aces won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5Under won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-13.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-15.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.