Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x638778da5e9aa2c35970af336733b186aca063147f0bc1cf7ffe33c5a5ac3792
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ulsan HD FCof Ulsan HD FC, FC Seoul
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Ulsan HD FC | 7c | 184.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ulsan HD FC | 45c | 168.2$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Ulsan HD FC | 40c | 98.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…9fe0backed FC Seoul | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FC Seoul | 50c | 90.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FC Seoul | 20c | 56.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…5099backed FC Seoul | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Ulsan HD FC | 36c | 40.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Ulsan HD FC | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked FC Seoul | 62c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked FC Seoul | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked FC Seoul | 64c | 31.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FC Seoul | 61c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf51…7cccbacked FC Seoul | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)this page
- FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: FC Seoul O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)Ulsan HD FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.