Asian League · resolved market
FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x717b1b23fac73e97eefaaf26f2c563badc5de1f313da567b060cccd2f4a674de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 2,438$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.39 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 43c | 955.03$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 43c | 772.41$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.63 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 42c | 595.59$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.17 | 395 | 49.9%197 W · 198 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed Yes | 57c | 529.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.98 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…5d2ebacked Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…1e01backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 42c | 299.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 26c | 270.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.27 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…6eb7backed Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 35c | 268.71$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.05 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 42c | 267.64$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.15 | 387 | 49.6%192 W · 195 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 184.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.28per pick | 51cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 65c | 136.17$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 124.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 44c | 108.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed No | 42c | 92.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 62c | 86.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 29c | 70.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 27c | 55.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 34c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed No | 44c | 43.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 55c | 39.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 42c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: FC Seoul O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)Ulsan HD FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.