Asian League · resolved market
Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03758d9182a6075374690df24b257315b8b4be7a7e6bb683bdef188d1e5fdb0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ulsan HD FCof FC Seoul, Ulsan HD FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ulsan HD FC | 68c | 3,636$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.08 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked FC Seoul | 33c | 3,017$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ulsan HD FC | 71c | 2,010$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed FC Seoul | 33c | 1,215$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed FC Seoul | 30c | 787$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.45 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked FC Seoul | 2c | 655.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38bd…b8f3backed FC Seoul | 32c | 625.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed FC Seoul | 32c | 555.52$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.44 | 387 | 49.6%192 W · 195 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Ulsan HD FC | 69c | 402.91$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.27 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked FC Seoul | 28c | 356.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked FC Seoul | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Ulsan HD FC | 70c | 184.5$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ulsan HD FC | 70c | 155.8$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed FC Seoul | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Ulsan HD FC | 69c | 149.32$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Ulsan HD FC | 70c | 148.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Ulsan HD FC | 69c | 144.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked FC Seoul | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Ulsan HD FC | 69c | 101.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Ulsan HD FC | 69c | 101.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 36 | 77.8%28 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed FC Seoul | 28c | 98.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Ulsan HD FC | 69c | 95.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Ulsan HD FC | 68c | 92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Ulsan HD FC | 68c | 73.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Ulsan HD FC | 68c | 62.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 236 | 60.2%142 W · 94 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked FC Seoul | 32c | 61.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 395 | 49.9%197 W · 198 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Ulsan HD FC | 68c | 60.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Ulsan HD FC | 68c | 57.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Ulsan HD FC | 69c | 50.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Ulsan HD FC | 69c | 50.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FC Seoul | 30c | 47.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb494…7159backed FC Seoul | 33c | 43.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Ulsan HD FC | 68c | 39.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked FC Seoul | 30c | 38.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Ulsan HD FC | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Ulsan HD FC | 68c | 31.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Ulsan HD FC | 69c | 20.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Ulsan HD FC | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)this page
- FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: FC Seoul O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)Ulsan HD FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.