Boxing · resolved market
Nic Carter vs. Coty Kuhn: Who will win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50c753bf994b8aa23a74b978034cc87895c3134516d7dc5a349a246dea99543c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carterof Carter, Kuhn
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd7c0…6b87backed Carter | 49c | 1,312$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f5…bd4cbacked Carter | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Kuhn | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed Kuhn | 50c | 949.46$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Kuhn | 46c | 748.27$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Kuhn | 51c | 402$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c9…2e6abacked Carter | 69c | 320.39$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Carter | 58c | 300.96$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Kuhn | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0890…8583backed Kuhn | 44c | 247.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f9…f716backed Kuhn | 50c | 230$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa428…1a4cbacked Carter | 52c | 200.08$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…58b6backed Carter | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…5126backed Carter | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…c3b4backed Kuhn | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f2…f52cbacked Kuhn | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…9a7dbacked Kuhn | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…08c3backed Carter | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb831…9693backed Kuhn | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…31a7backed Carter | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1581…7ff5backed Carter | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…a7e9backed Kuhn | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…6cacbacked Kuhn | 50c | 186.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…e14dbacked Kuhn | 51c | 167.86$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Kuhn | 50c | 155.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…6875backed Carter | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Carter | 49c | 118.87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Carter | 49c | 111$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…221dbacked Kuhn | 45c | 110.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…516bbacked Kuhn | 51c | 109.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…e2b9backed Carter | 50c | 104$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Kuhn | 50c | 100.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4842…7c89backed Carter | 51c | 82.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c1…8cdabacked Kuhn | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f64…ba0abacked Carter | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e38…4debbacked Kuhn | 51c | 45.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2b…3365backed Kuhn | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…1493backed Kuhn | 51c | 32.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…7099backed Kuhn | 51c | 27.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…0b61backed Carter | 61c | 26.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…f844backed Carter | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd522…3c63backed Carter | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf96…efc2backed Carter | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d7…e09bbacked Kuhn | 51c | 20.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…7dfdbacked Kuhn | 49c | 20.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…4017backed Carter | 50c | 20.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaa…1a72backed Carter | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…54f1backed Kuhn | 51c | 20.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…50f1backed Kuhn | 51c | 20.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…dfabbacked Carter | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…3c1dbacked Kuhn | 51c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.