World Politics · resolved market
Jeremy Corbyn elected to parliament in UK election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bcd75aeb9bfc65d71376f2a01d5f571e6e9f614f0fc6367ab041292065f580b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 62c | 5,966$3,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,686.56 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 35c | 5,389$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.61 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed Yes | 56c | 3,957$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.84 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 49c | 3,386$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.5 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc831…9973backed No | 42c | 3,332$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd3…d54abacked Yes | 67c | 2,872$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 45c | 1,470$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 63c | 1,167$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.36 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6e…2003backed No | 68c | 1,100$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 45c | 1,064$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.73 | 139 | 18%25 W · 114 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Yes | 34c | 906.88$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a08…2523backed Yes | 67c | 782$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.06 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x790c…033cbacked Yes | 68c | 593.36$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.36 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 40c | 480$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 65c | 400$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.5 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 63c | 352.31$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.21 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…0ff1backed No | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…eb52backed No | 39c | 249.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed No | 65c | 220$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.7 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed No | 35c | 217.88$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.53 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…b297backed No | 66c | 214.85$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yes | 54c | 210.75$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff9f…3b8abacked Yes | 40c | 201.49$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd99…ae99backed No | 64c | 160$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…cc0ebacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5405…3d7cbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 33c | 113.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…8ba9backed Yes | 38c | 111$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked Yes | 48c | 106.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc717…88bbbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…6533backed Yes | 61c | 96.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865b…a912backed Yes | 60c | 83.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb0…5a2bbacked Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…a032backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b21…0b7bbacked Yes | 54c | 61.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…f710backed Yes | 38c | 61.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…4325backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc6…9743backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b7…28e7backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…1d13backed No | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 40c | 44.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…84f2backed Yes | 64c | 39.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed Yes | 38c | 38.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253c…aa25backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…12dfbacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…e4bebacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…b813backed Yes | 43c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e0…3302backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…843ebacked Yes | 45c | 24.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…d29bbacked Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.