TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Celtics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Jazz, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$917,819
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,040,082

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $917,819 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73cb…b0d0backed Jazz7c102,180$7,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,455.867647.4%36 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jazz6c60,040$3,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,801.9896447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Jazz6c50,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00033752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Jazz12c40,974$4,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,875.0533931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Jazz9c36,908$3,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,409.2176249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Jazz6c27,647$1,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,713.739038.9%35 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Jazz7c24,974$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,684.8522832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jazz6c20,195$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.681,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9106…d826backed Jazz6c20,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz7c20,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4001,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x963e…61ccbacked Jazz6c16,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+81.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Jazz7c15,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04046928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz8c10,658$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.073,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Jazz9c10,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.021,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Jazz10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Jazz6c9,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58072341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Jazz7c7,177$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.3613929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jazz21c6,165$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.541,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Jazz2c4,820$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.978783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Jazz9c4,715$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.248219.5%16 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Jazz8c4,317$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.4477745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz1c4,100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa33…8dbcbacked Jazz9c3,752$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.9129450.3%148 W · 146 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Jazz8c3,689$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.123135.1%81 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Jazz6c3,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.981978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Jazz12c2,796$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.6488053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jazz1c2,488$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.731,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Jazz6c2,332$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.921,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Jazz7c2,222$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.541,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Jazz6c2,191$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.3461835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Jazz6c2,061$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6673647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Jazz11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22026431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f2…edf8backed Jazz6c1,676$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10410643.4%46 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133b…415ebacked Jazz8c1,600$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Jazz8c1,431$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5285542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Jazz6c1,411$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6816537%61 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Jazz6c1,260$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.625851.6%133 W · 125 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Jazz1c1,214$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.27502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9da7…8d0fbacked Jazz6c1,206$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.351428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-58.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd522…3a17backed Jazz7c1,171$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…b24ebacked Jazz10c1,017$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016129.8%48 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Jazz10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Jazz6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6050453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Jazz7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bcf…76e3backed Jazz2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.45127.5%14 W · 37 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+97.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5ac9…70b0backed Jazz12c938.7$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.59933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Jazz27c913.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010533.3%35 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jazz13c895.74$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.595,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Jazz7c884.95$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9537627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Jazz6c800$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4845348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83da…41f7backed Jazz7c779.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.660%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79bb…8fc6backed Jazz9c666.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013543.7%59 W · 76 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa6…7721backed Jazz8c661.25$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.913236.4%48 W · 84 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Jazz16c600$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.670640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Jazz6c583$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9887647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc3f…2d0fbacked Jazz9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015244.7%68 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Jazz8c543.47$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.485728.1%16 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…8c56backed Jazz8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404632.6%15 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Jazz8c499.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6622733%75 W · 152 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Jazz8c487.75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0216617.5%29 W · 137 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2fb…783fbacked Jazz8c475.75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.064153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Jazz11c467.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf65e…3850backed Jazz7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024336.2%88 W · 155 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd07f…6c05backed Jazz7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304025%10 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d2f…64e9backed Jazz7c422.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.584850%24 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked Jazz7c400.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0311019.1%21 W · 89 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Jazz7c368.9$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8261345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79b2…4874backed Jazz11c353.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x066e…7c1dbacked Jazz9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014944.3%66 W · 83 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Jazz8c314.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0536514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Jazz7c299.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2114129.1%41 W · 100 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Jazz9c292.8$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3525016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x81da…421bbacked Jazz10c280$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288748.3%42 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64fa…380fbacked Jazz8c276$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0812547.2%59 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Jazz7c271.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1937011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1668…ebebbacked Jazz7c226.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.883751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ff…3fbebacked Jazz9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013650.7%69 W · 67 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb5…87ecbacked Jazz9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0753…25b2backed Jazz8c206.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.996021.7%13 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Jazz10c200.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2730331.4%95 W · 208 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Jazz6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1240448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b9a…8f02backed Jazz8c193.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.494245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x438e…b01abacked Jazz8c190.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.244557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Jazz6c181$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8626040%104 W · 156 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38a0…16e9backed Jazz10c180.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0371823.3%167 W · 551 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Jazz7c179$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5337831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7bc…df44backed Jazz7c168.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.781838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4722…74b4backed Jazz9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516550.3%83 W · 82 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2104…a495backed Jazz8c158$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.189142.9%39 W · 52 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa891…9ebabacked Jazz7c153.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.72540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Jazz10c150$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4771747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73dd…134bbacked Jazz9c140.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.68825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-65.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Jazz8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jazz10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Jazz11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1139843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Jazz10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1031631.6%100 W · 216 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ffd…d225backed Celtics75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6713043.8%57 W · 73 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.