NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Nets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd38d115b83d86661d1a75f4788d4b72e15f41524f89be5ffd90a95e5b86d30e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $542,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $572,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $542,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Thunder | 67c | 44,675$29,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,767.18 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Nets | 36c | 33,742$11,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,989.13 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nets | 9c | 20,737$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.34 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Nets | 50c | 19,732$9,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,881.06 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Nets | 9c | 19,444$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Nets | 9c | 19,412$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.12 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nets | 3c | 13,516$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.71 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Nets | 26c | 10,220$2,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.12 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Thunder | 44c | 7,212$3,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,057.3 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Thunder | 59c | 7,011$4,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,872.88 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Thunder | 69c | 7,000$4,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.93 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nets | 43c | 5,523$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.08 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Nets | 7c | 5,355$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.85 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Thunder | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Thunder | 78c | 4,475$3,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.49 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Thunder | 64c | 4,269$2,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.53 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nets | 7c | 3,888$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.18 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Nets | 0c | 3,664$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Nets | 25c | 3,469$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.34 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Thunder | 75c | 3,386$2,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.05 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…b899backed Nets | 9c | 3,330$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Nets | 34c | 3,314$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.66 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Nets | 9c | 3,245$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.03 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Nets | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Nets | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Nets | 25c | 2,674$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.19 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Nets | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Nets | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Nets | 8c | 2,058$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.62 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Nets | 48c | 2,055$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.36 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Nets | 8c | 2,040$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Nets | 55c | 2,029$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.69 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed Thunder | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Thunder | 67c | 1,950$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.06 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Nets | 1c | 1,920$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Nets | 1c | 1,907$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Nets | 18c | 1,857$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…fd3fbacked Nets | 8c | 1,625$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Nets | 13c | 1,600$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.1 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Nets | 43c | 1,407$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Thunder | 66c | 1,339$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.74 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…d133backed Nets | 9c | 1,333$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Nets | 34c | 1,293$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.86 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…525abacked Nets | 1c | 1,257$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Nets | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Nets | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Nets | 8c | 1,200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nets | 8c | 1,154$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Thunder | 53c | 1,122$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.78 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Thunder | 55c | 1,086$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.43 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Thunder | 76c | 1,073$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.99 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Nets | 29c | 1,055$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.45 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nets | 8c | 1,052$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Nets | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Nets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Nets | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Nets | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Nets | 7c | 999.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Thunder | 64c | 936$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.6 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Thunder | 63c | 928.81$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.81 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Thunder | 44c | 862.54$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.02 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Nets | 32c | 821.88$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Thunder | 71c | 800$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.69 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nets | 1c | 800$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…3113backed Thunder | 74c | 758.26$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.63 | 233 | 59.7%139 W · 94 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Thunder | 59c | 699.99$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Nets | 6c | 666.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Nets | 5c | 649.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Nets | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c56…5a66backed Nets | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Thunder | 65c | 556.8$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.22 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0445…e4dfbacked Nets | 7c | 552.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…15d7backed Nets | 61c | 549.57$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.43 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Thunder | 69c | 545.42$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.08 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Thunder | 45c | 541.84$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.5 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe69f…52debacked Thunder | 72c | 518.1$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.33 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Nets | 39c | 515.92$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.51 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Thunder | 53c | 506.45$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.45 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Nets | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Nets | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Thunder | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Thunder | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nets | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…4e9bbacked Nets | 9c | 483$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Thunder | 66c | 482.04$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.89 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106d…2167backed Nets | 7c | 460$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Thunder | 54c | 431.48$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.48 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Nets | 28c | 431.35$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nets | 10c | 409.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Nets | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Nets | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Nets | 39c | 380.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.53 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Nets | 31c | 375.17$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.77 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Nets | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…7097backed Nets | 8c | 360.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Thunder | 75c | 350$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Thunder | 63c | 315.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.13 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Thunder | 80c | 313.31$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Nets | 46c | 299.98$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1292…e678backed Nets | 51c | 296.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.