Fifa International · resolved market
Copa America: Argentina vs. Canada
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc77cd1f39fa5178eb0a25c98a8b93606811ea92dd16f93f47652938c3c0ee297
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Argentinaof Argentina, Canada
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d6d…6967backed Canada | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Canada | 17c | 7,387$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.81 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed Canada | 15c | 6,110$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed Canada | 14c | 6,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Canada | 15c | 4,725$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Canada | 15c | 3,009$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.3 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4401…3a00backed Canada | 17c | 2,348$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…058fbacked Canada | 16c | 1,897$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Canada | 15c | 1,718$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Canada | 17c | 1,471$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65f2…b488backed Canada | 14c | 1,200$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296b…2cf2backed Canada | 16c | 999.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Canada | 16c | 968.75$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Canada | 15c | 777$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d4…5f4ebacked Canada | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Canada | 4c | 550$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +279.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…407fbacked Canada | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Canada | 15c | 399.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Canada | 15c | 302.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Canada | 17c | 264.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c31…ea4bbacked Canada | 11c | 215$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd1…76b9backed Canada | 17c | 207.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf849…3941backed Canada | 29c | 171.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc240…2760backed Canada | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Canada | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…cb78backed Canada | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d5…5232backed Canada | 17c | 122.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb33b…2454backed Canada | 17c | 118.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc8…cff0backed Canada | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Canada | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed Canada | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3b…2bf1backed Canada | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddf…0192backed Canada | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8181…ea9ebacked Canada | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ed…be91backed Canada | 16c | 85.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41aa…b639backed Canada | 17c | 82.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…7c81backed Canada | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Argentina | 73c | 56.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.