Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jan Lennard Struff
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7eac414ef11bb4f3578477d825549e90135e91ad8f4ba8e31081395db60738cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djokovicof Djokovic, Struff
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,209,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,080,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,209,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bde…8c91backed Struff | 8c | 758,777$57,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,851.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Struff | 5c | 153,851$8,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,424.87 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 25cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Struff | 13c | 25,121$3,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,345.68 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Struff | 15c | 16,135$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.31 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Struff | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Struff | 14c | 7,982$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.48 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Struff | 14c | 6,297$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.43 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Struff | 14c | 5,000$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.99 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Struff | 14c | 4,507$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.9 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Struff | 14c | 3,980$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.2 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Struff | 6c | 3,500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Struff | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Struff | 13c | 3,029$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.08 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Struff | 15c | 2,500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Struff | 16c | 2,075$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Struff | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Struff | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Struff | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c2…8c24backed Struff | 7c | 1,800$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Struff | 12c | 1,303$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.01 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…baa7backed Struff | 14c | 1,180$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Struff | 12c | 1,077$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.64 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Struff | 12c | 899.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6e…b0e0backed Struff | 15c | 886.67$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Struff | 13c | 838.36$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.44 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Struff | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Struff | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Struff | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Struff | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Struff | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Struff | 15c | 361.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Struff | 16c | 339$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Struff | 13c | 305$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Struff | 13c | 298.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…ea3dbacked Struff | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Struff | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Struff | 16c | 193.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…141cbacked Struff | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Struff | 14c | 180$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…c1c5backed Struff | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Struff | 13c | 152.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…d47cbacked Struff | 14c | 148.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Struff | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Struff | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…55bcbacked Struff | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Struff | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…1346backed Struff | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +61%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4045…3307backed Struff | 16c | 111.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Struff | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1424…4f78backed Struff | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Struff | 14c | 72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Struff | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.