Movies · resolved market
Will Zoe Saldaña win the Golden Globe for Best Supporting Actress - Motion Picture?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc3b88b4ad702be9adda783a67ac5349ff064abf3631de300e44624edb95a683
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes | 64c | 1,639$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 64c | 1,197$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.98 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 64c | 700$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed No | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…e78bbacked Yes | 67c | 471.98$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.93 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…11d1backed Yes | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 61c | 212.37$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.82 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 63c | 180$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 64c | 172.98$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 33c | 168.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa93a…0f5cbacked Yes | 64c | 160$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 37c | 158.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 58c | 153.7$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 63c | 130$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…bbb3backed No | 37c | 111.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…6b34backed No | 38c | 109.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 35c | 98.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…1295backed Yes | 64c | 85.41$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…5680backed Yes | 65c | 84.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…b868backed Yes | 64c | 70.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6899…6853backed Yes | 64c | 68.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab9…3f5fbacked Yes | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…b625backed No | 38c | 57.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…2093backed No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e09…3cb2backed No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…c483backed Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…3d62backed No | 37c | 46.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c38…a3a5backed Yes | 58c | 46.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 62c | 40.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff0…a0edbacked Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 37c | 36.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 34c | 35.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642e…314dbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…773cbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb144…8db4backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff5…22bcbacked Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef0…4cdcbacked Yes | 67c | 29.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…806fbacked Yes | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11f…9a86backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…8114backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24f4…61b1backed Yes | 71c | 18.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x822f…ca5fbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a4…7351backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…ff21backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c88…5935backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zoe Saldaña win the Golden Globe for Best Supporting Actress - Motion Picture?this page
- Will Ariana Grande win the Golden Globe for Best Supporting Actress - Motion Picture?No won
- Will Felicity Jones win the Golden Globe for Best Supporting Actress - Motion Picture?No won
- Will Isabella Rossellini win the Golden Globe for Best Supporting Actress - Motion Picture?No won
- Will Margaret Qualley win the Golden Globe for Best Supporting Actress - Motion Picture?No won
- Will Selena Gomez win the Golden Globe for Best Supporting Actress - Motion Picture?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.