Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Chak Lam Coleman Wong vs Andrey Rublev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x867e31c20e601e321e56cbc4ca2a4b1a29eb00e0a4913c06f5da4a7c5691b3a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rublevof Wong, Rublev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $286,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $377,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25a7…2f87backed Rublev | 71c | 105,100$74,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,600.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Wong | 29c | 30,821$9,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,006.1 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Wong | 11c | 19,978$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.63 | 374 | 50%187 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Wong | 32c | 9,000$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Wong | 31c | 8,992$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.07 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56f…75efbacked Wong | 27c | 8,653$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.39 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rublev | 80c | 5,450$4,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.16 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Wong | 17c | 4,374$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.19 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Wong | 16c | 4,314$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.18 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Rublev | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Wong | 28c | 2,959$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.39 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Rublev | 70c | 2,014$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.33 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…4392backed Wong | 10c | 1,932$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.24 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b03…2c21backed Rublev | 71c | 1,809$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.69 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Wong | 31c | 1,335$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.87 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Wong | 29c | 1,188$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.09 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Rublev | 74c | 1,134$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.58 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Wong | 10c | 911.19$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.12 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wong | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Wong | 28c | 874.83$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.07 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…1fb0backed Wong | 20c | 789.43$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Rublev | 64c | 758$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.8 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Rublev | 62c | 650$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.5 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Rublev | 74c | 504.1$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a6…6fa0backed Wong | 31c | 485.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Rublev | 66c | 334.36$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.36 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Rublev | 70c | 315.43$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.43 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Rublev | 67c | 310$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Wong | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Wong | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Wong | 25c | 293.96$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.77 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Rublev | 72c | 275.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.88 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Rublev | 54c | 270$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Rublev | 67c | 269.7$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Wong | 31c | 267.74$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wong | 30c | 257.21$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Wong | 30c | 251.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Wong | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Wong | 30c | 177.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f96…56c1backed Wong | 33c | 159.62$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Wong | 24c | 143.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…8885backed Wong | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 41cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Wong | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Wong | 23c | 122$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Wong | 10c | 118.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79d7…ef8ebacked Wong | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…3250backed Wong | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Rublev | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d40…b4ecbacked Wong | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Wong | 24c | 75.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…e932backed Rublev | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Wong | 25c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…e7aabacked Wong | 18c | 61.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Wong | 31c | 61.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6288…1bdcbacked Rublev | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e1…9c10backed Wong | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Wong | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Wong | 26c | 43.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…ac55backed Rublev | 67c | 34.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…511fbacked Rublev | 70c | 25.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ec…6c4fbacked Rublev | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.