MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46531a699f3aeee6278455e32168c818c22a13b091e57d6c724cac2cf76d1f27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Orioles, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $228,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 515 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe785…e106backed Orioles | 48c | 116,024$55,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,484.95 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Red Sox | 52c | 60,989$31,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,954.31 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Red Sox | 52c | 20,900$10,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,868 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Orioles | 47c | 20,702$9,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,971.88 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Red Sox | 52c | 19,648$10,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,216.9 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Red Sox | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Red Sox | 52c | 7,222$3,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,755.44 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Orioles | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.99 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Sox | 52c | 4,444$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.87 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Red Sox | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 37c | 3,932$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.05 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 53c | 3,797$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.61 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Red Sox | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Orioles | 74c | 2,923$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.2 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Red Sox | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.96 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Red Sox | 51c | 1,989$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.38 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Red Sox | 52c | 1,909$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.68 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Red Sox | 52c | 1,785$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.17 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…9bcebacked Orioles | 48c | 1,542$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…fe69backed Red Sox | 52c | 1,520$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Red Sox | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6d…df6abacked Red Sox | 52c | 1,480$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c33…d435backed Orioles | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Red Sox | 53c | 1,411$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.97 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Orioles | 49c | 1,339$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.83 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Orioles | 45c | 1,323$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.22 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f3…20a1backed Red Sox | 50c | 1,298$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Orioles | 55c | 1,198$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.37 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb669…ec01backed Red Sox | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Orioles | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Orioles | 68c | 1,089$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.46 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc81c…9e5cbacked Orioles | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.92 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.41per pick | 52cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox | 52c | 1,020$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.55 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…05d5backed Orioles | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7367…fed2backed Orioles | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Red Sox | 52c | 998.98$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.08 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Red Sox | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…04c1backed Red Sox | 53c | 868$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Orioles | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Red Sox | 26c | 813.57$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Red Sox | 35c | 772.27$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.06 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Orioles | 79c | 748.96$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.28 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Orioles | 56c | 699.91$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.25 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Red Sox | 36c | 585.08$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Orioles | 52c | 576$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.11 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Orioles | 47c | 569.91$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.05 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7093…3431backed Red Sox | 53c | 566$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Red Sox | 48c | 521.75$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.44 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Orioles | 48c | 519.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.91 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Red Sox | 11c | 505.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Red Sox | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Red Sox | 32c | 500$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…3582backed Red Sox | 53c | 498$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 52cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Orioles | 47c | 450$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.5 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Red Sox | 52c | 439.02$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.29 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…2bbebacked Orioles | 48c | 420.83$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.83 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3104…bd68backed Red Sox | 53c | 420.75$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Orioles | 47c | 411.89$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.3 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Orioles | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Red Sox | 52c | 399.69$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.84 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Orioles | 52c | 394.43$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.47 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Red Sox | 53c | 382.26$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 47c | 350$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed Red Sox | 53c | 335.85$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Orioles | 47c | 320$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Orioles | 48c | 314.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.28 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Orioles | 48c | 313$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.76 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Orioles | 47c | 309$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…bf9dbacked Red Sox | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Red Sox | 10c | 271.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 19c | 255.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Orioles | 48c | 243.04$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.38 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Red Sox | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Red Sox | 54c | 221.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.73 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Red Sox | 53c | 220$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Orioles | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Orioles | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Orioles | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Orioles | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Orioles | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…d1bbbacked Orioles | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…4ef4backed Orioles | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Red Sox | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Orioles | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Orioles | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Orioles | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…b555backed Red Sox | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…88e6backed Red Sox | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Red Sox | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…c9cabacked Red Sox | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…2fa8backed Red Sox | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Orioles | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…40c9backed Red Sox | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…a9efbacked Red Sox | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…a521backed Red Sox | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0a…bb8ebacked Orioles | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…cd04backed Red Sox | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…78dabacked Orioles | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +9.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.