Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump formally nominate Tulsi Gabbard to the cabinet?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e2ed084812e8dd8e13bc64185ebe3c6500ca1b0f1600c1a2ea6f27b51cdca5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked No | 18c | 27,977$5,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,122.38 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…4fbfbacked Yes | 72c | 7,465$5,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 78c | 7,000$5,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 25c | 5,427$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.54 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f77…9d8ebacked No | 21c | 4,995$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.42 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed No | 16c | 4,100$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.25 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd7…0643backed Yes | 73c | 4,042$2,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.17 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 18c | 3,409$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.45 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72e7…dc57backed Yes | 77c | 3,400$2,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.77 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed No | 5c | 3,000$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 102 | 11.8%12 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 75c | 2,885$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.38 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…e81fbacked Yes | 72c | 2,527$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d8…638abacked No | 21c | 2,481$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…e1d7backed No | 6c | 2,177$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.26 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…bbe2backed No | 5c | 2,118$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 3c | 1,950$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…fc4cbacked No | 15c | 1,876$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab1…d307backed No | 21c | 1,663$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.03 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 6c | 1,633$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.02 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 2c | 1,550$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked No | 24c | 1,464$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…1aa4backed No | 23c | 1,300$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.8 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x593c…72debacked Yes | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e4…b676backed No | 6c | 1,270$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.49 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 2c | 1,172$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 30c | 1,111$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.19 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 10c | 1,075$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 6c | 1,041$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 124 | 4.8%6 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040e…8edfbacked No | 23c | 919.77$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.95 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c4…55cfbacked No | 4c | 892.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 26c | 879.14$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.42 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 8c | 746.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…a613backed Yes | 75c | 700$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.7 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…9b59backed No | 25c | 651.39$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.31 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…7dd1backed No | 22c | 650$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.14 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48bd…9d3bbacked Yes | 80c | 639.87$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.87 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 5c | 621.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed No | 24c | 621$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.42 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0750…86dcbacked No | 25c | 500$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb90…ba2cbacked Yes | 74c | 500$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Yes | 71c | 500$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed Yes | 79c | 500$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3353…8e3dbacked No | 7c | 475$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 14c | 455$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 4c | 377$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 4c | 352$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 27c | 344.95$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…0bdbbacked No | 6c | 338.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cac…6fa7backed Yes | 74c | 322$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.91 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffd…c854backed No | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x957e…404bbacked No | 24c | 215.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c5…a164backed No | 6c | 212$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…68d9backed No | 18c | 203.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…46d6backed No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 12c | 186.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Yes | 75c | 135$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…4d8fbacked Yes | 75c | 133.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd630…d5fabacked Yes | 77c | 130.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4023…1ad1backed Yes | 70c | 123$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…4bdfbacked Yes | 71c | 120.46$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 9c | 120$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe372…5336backed Yes | 70c | 119$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 13c | 111.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…e1edbacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff8b…f111backed Yes | 70c | 93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…77c7backed No | 20c | 91.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…bba9backed Yes | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…1d5dbacked No | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4145…fc24backed Yes | 75c | 66.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…58e7backed Yes | 76c | 65.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…8167backed Yes | 18c | 58.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +8.3wins | +0.32per pick | 14cpaid | +308.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…6cdcbacked No | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…966bbacked Yes | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +7.5wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…8016backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…6f7dbacked Yes | 79c | 46.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328d…d16dbacked Yes | 75c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 30c | 37.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…e15dbacked No | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…9d07backed Yes | 79c | 25.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…51acbacked Yes | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a80…a513backed Yes | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…18f9backed Yes | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9800…d1c7backed Yes | 75c | 20.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fff…e2b6backed Yes | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…5cdfbacked Yes | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…b062backed Yes | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde34…5d17backed Yes | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…259cbacked Yes | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x146e…3d5fbacked Yes | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…b819backed Yes | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e1…cd6cbacked Yes | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f37…16a3backed Yes | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…7737backed Yes | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…31ecbacked Yes | 76c | 14.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…f05ebacked Yes | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1a…670abacked Yes | 75c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d7…382fbacked Yes | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…5eedbacked Yes | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…7e31backed Yes | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.