Tennis · resolved market
Bucaramanga: Guido Justo vs Johan Nikles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbbe68bf3b218cb3713e43faa9a1dee5b324c7986ccd359df52439b382136d76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guido Justoof Guido Justo, Johan Nikles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x027f…472abacked Johan Nikles | 34c | 5,851$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Guido Justo | 63c | 2,165$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.62 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Guido Justo | 76c | 1,821$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.34 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Guido Justo | 78c | 1,558$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.92 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…d9c7backed Guido Justo | 69c | 1,485$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4eb…161fbacked Johan Nikles | 31c | 1,485$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Johan Nikles | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Johan Nikles | 32c | 1,099$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.68 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…dc0fbacked Johan Nikles | 24c | 841.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Johan Nikles | 15c | 629.14$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.67 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Guido Justo | 69c | 515.66$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.56 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Guido Justo | 72c | 486.11$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.11 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Johan Nikles | 12c | 417.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Guido Justo | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Johan Nikles | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Johan Nikles | 28c | 203.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Johan Nikles | 28c | 189.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Johan Nikles | 17c | 177.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Guido Justo | 66c | 160$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Johan Nikles | 15c | 154.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 572 | 67.3%385 W · 187 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Guido Justo | 71c | 154.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Johan Nikles | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Johan Nikles | 29c | 140.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…804ebacked Johan Nikles | 13c | 120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 155 | 14.2%22 W · 133 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Johan Nikles | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 279 | 40.1%112 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Johan Nikles | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Johan Nikles | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Johan Nikles | 14c | 79.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Johan Nikles | 30c | 63.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Johan Nikles | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Guido Justo | 65c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Guido Justo | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Guido Justo | 70c | 23.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed Guido Justo | 71c | 22.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Guido Justo | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddd…1a7ebacked Guido Justo | 80c | 18.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Guido Justo | 69c | 16.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 474 | 53.2%252 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Guido Justo | 79c | 13.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.