College Football · resolved market
Wake Forest vs. Oregon State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c0d68aabb8b85a996847deb66f793ecd87a08bd85a36904a47f960a456ccd6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wake Forestof Wake Forest, Oregon State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Oregon State | 46c | 29,275$13,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,470.39 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wake Forest | 54c | 14,840$8,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,826.45 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec65…cf87backed Oregon State | 45c | 12,102$5,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,445.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Wake Forest | 53c | 11,913$6,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,598.88 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Wake Forest | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Wake Forest | 55c | 9,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Oregon State | 43c | 8,000$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oregon State | 46c | 7,701$3,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,523.83 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wake Forest | 55c | 7,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Oregon State | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Wake Forest | 53c | 3,799$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.12 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Wake Forest | 54c | 3,121$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.69 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Wake Forest | 54c | 2,314$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.56 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Wake Forest | 54c | 1,728$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.65 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Oregon State | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Wake Forest | 54c | 1,484$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.64 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wake Forest | 57c | 1,409$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.9 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Oregon State | 46c | 1,406$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.77 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Wake Forest | 52c | 1,071$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.08 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wake Forest | 54c | 828.59$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.11 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Wake Forest | 54c | 737.17$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.1 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Wake Forest | 53c | 660$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.2 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Wake Forest | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Oregon State | 42c | 446.6$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.57 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Wake Forest | 58c | 433.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.62 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Oregon State | 45c | 355.64$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.04 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed Wake Forest | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Oregon State | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wake Forest | 56c | 332.14$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.14 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Wake Forest | 55c | 303$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.35 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…d46bbacked Oregon State | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Oregon State | 15c | 222.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wake Forest | 68c | 221.5$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.88 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Oregon State | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Oregon State | 42c | 172.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.41 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Wake Forest | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Wake Forest | 56c | 148.86$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oregon State | 44c | 124.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Oregon State | 46c | 101$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Oregon State | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Oregon State | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…435cbacked Oregon State | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Wake Forest | 77c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Wake Forest | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c2…4992backed Wake Forest | 58c | 75.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Wake Forest | 55c | 52.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…647bbacked Oregon State | 46c | 49.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Oregon State | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Oregon State | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed Wake Forest | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Oregon State | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…fc22backed Wake Forest | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a5…28ccbacked Wake Forest | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Wake Forest | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Wake Forest | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wake Forest vs. Oregon Statethis page
- Spread: Wake Forest (-2.5)Wake Forest won
- Spread: Wake Forest (-3.5)Wake Forest won
- Wake Forest vs. Oregon State: O/U 50.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.