College Football · resolved market
Will Missouri beat Auburn?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4331a1c67189b69ab4af3d9e708b006db56115e8d5f83e9d98f009e0094ce1dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Missouriof Missouri, Auburn
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Auburn | 70c | 1,866$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.51 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Auburn | 51c | 1,321$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.97 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Missouri | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Missouri | 41c | 784.95$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.62 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Missouri | 17c | 717.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.13 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked Auburn | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Missouri | 78c | 272.26$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed Missouri | 14c | 252.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Missouri | 57c | 250$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…4bbebacked Missouri | 55c | 153.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Auburn | 38c | 131$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Missouri | 32c | 127.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.81 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Auburn | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…51c4backed Missouri | 50c | 118.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Missouri | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…1914backed Auburn | 39c | 101$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Auburn | 74c | 94.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed Missouri | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b18…5facbacked Missouri | 19c | 78.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…a813backed Missouri | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Missouri | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Missouri | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Missouri | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…8278backed Auburn | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Auburn | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0355…4c8cbacked Auburn | 75c | 23.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -67%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Missouri beat Auburn?this page
- Will Missouri beat Auburn by 5 or more points?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.