NFL · resolved market
Ravens vs. Cowboys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x767fd237d6e5948c543009b69155df10935130bd6cea2d71b1020eb31a04d106
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ravens of Ravens , Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cowboys | 48c | 12,519$5,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,974.91 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Ravens | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa251…23ddbacked Ravens | 53c | 2,353$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +66%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Ravens | 77c | 1,960$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.7 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Ravens | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Cowboys | 1c | 1,668$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Ravens | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Ravens | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Ravens | 57c | 352.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.91 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Ravens | 57c | 282.38$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.42 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Ravens | 59c | 273.05$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.71 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cowboys | 39c | 254.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Ravens | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Cowboys | 45c | 223.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.37 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Ravens | 55c | 223$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cowboys | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cowboys | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Cowboys | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cowboys | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Ravens | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Cowboys | 45c | 193.64$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +522.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Ravens | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Cowboys | 21c | 165.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…238dbacked Cowboys | 32c | 158.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Ravens | 53c | 157.77$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.15 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Ravens | 48c | 136.71$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Ravens | 49c | 135.85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfef0…1282backed Ravens | 54c | 126.28$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Ravens | 48c | 105$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cowboys | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cowboys | 43c | 87.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Cowboys | 45c | 85.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb683…61b1backed Ravens | 60c | 82.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Cowboys | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Ravens | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Ravens | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Ravens | 57c | 47.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Ravens | 53c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -9.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Ravens | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Cowboys | 48c | 42.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Cowboys | 46c | 39.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Ravens | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cowboys | 56c | 31.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Ravens | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 207 | 60.9%126 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…b321backed Ravens | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Ravens | 44c | 26.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Cowboys | 45c | 26.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Ravens | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5de6…05a6backed Ravens | 49c | 23.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.