MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5c2cc08d25599eab254cdb3b008fd65f1f2865d4e2aff7c731ae61a1c475b1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Yankees, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rays | 19c | 6,035$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.79 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Rays | 12c | 5,814$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.72 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Yankees | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 21c | 2,807$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.08 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Yankees | 50c | 2,776$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.24 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 19c | 2,696$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.45 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yankees | 60c | 2,546$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.51 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Yankees | 72c | 2,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Rays | 31c | 2,040$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.61 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Rays | 51c | 1,847$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.88 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Yankees | 49c | 1,837$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.73 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…31a7backed Rays | 52c | 1,712$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Rays | 51c | 1,446$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.23 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Rays | 54c | 1,303$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Yankees | 62c | 1,274$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.04 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yankees | 60c | 1,251$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.14 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Rays | 51c | 1,185$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.33 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rays | 51c | 1,183$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.16 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Yankees | 47c | 899.93$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.97 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…2c03backed Yankees | 48c | 880$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9011…311cbacked Yankees | 48c | 831$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.12 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yankees | 80c | 792.09$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.12 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Rays | 51c | 790$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.9 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Yankees | 49c | 789$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.39 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Rays | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Yankees | 74c | 678.26$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.26 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yankees | 74c | 660$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yankees | 49c | 613.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.52 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 52c | 575.57$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.37 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Rays | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…2bbebacked Rays | 53c | 564.64$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3104…bd68backed Yankees | 48c | 564.54$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 51c | 560.71$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.95 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Yankees | 65c | 557.54$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.14 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Yankees | 46c | 550$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.5 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Yankees | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yankees | 47c | 499.98$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Rays | 51c | 499.94$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.47 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rays | 18c | 487.06$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Rays | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays | 20c | 433.33$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Rays | 47c | 427.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Yankees | 49c | 412.24$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.24 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Yankees | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Rays | 53c | 408$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.66 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yankees | 47c | 400$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.94 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Yankees | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Rays | 24c | 386.73$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.74 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Yankees | 49c | 357$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.07 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yankees | 47c | 349.98$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.49 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yankees | 59c | 339.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.15 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rays | 10c | 333.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yankees | 50c | 325$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rays | 13c | 321.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Rays | 37c | 315.39$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.61 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yankees | 64c | 305.85$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.11 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yankees | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rays | 52c | 289.96$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.78 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Rays | 43c | 288.68$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Yankees | 48c | 287$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.24 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Rays | 32c | 282.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.31 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Rays | 54c | 278$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.12 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rays | 53c | 262.17$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.95 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Rays | 27c | 240.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yankees | 78c | 233.43$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yankees | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Rays | 53c | 201.15$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.61 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Yankees | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rays | 33c | 180.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Rays | 13c | 171.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yankees | 77c | 169.21$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rays | 51c | 168.07$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…e8f2backed Rays | 11c | 166$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rays | 53c | 162.26$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Yankees | 50c | 146.06$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.06 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Yankees | 49c | 135.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.98 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yankees | 48c | 135.42$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.42 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…ca89backed Yankees | 48c | 130$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 235 | 43.4%102 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Rays | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Yankees | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rays | 42c | 119.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e3…fff7backed Yankees | 48c | 111.73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Rays | 52c | 111$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86d…7d43backed Rays | 53c | 110.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yankees | 49c | 109$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a5…3120backed Rays | 53c | 107.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Yankees | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Yankees | 48c | 104$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Rays | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yankees | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Rays | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Rays | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Yankees | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…7f9fbacked Yankees | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6205…19febacked Yankees | 49c | 97.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yankees | 49c | 97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Rays | 52c | 93.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…981dbacked Rays | 53c | 84.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.