NFL · resolved market
Chargers vs. Rams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ab6b1c3f458f265b074289858346a128a82d25ed1e3b5632e046ad73fb74a28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rams of Chargers , Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Chargers | 74c | 7,431$5,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,506.21 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Rams | 26c | 7,003$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,181.87 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Chargers | 8c | 4,253$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.79 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Chargers | 73c | 3,735$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.24 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Rams | 35c | 1,465$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.29 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Chargers | 41c | 1,168$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.59 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rams | 12c | 1,163$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.47 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Rams | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Rams | 27c | 949.75$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.75 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rams | 26c | 787.96$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.09 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Chargers | 75c | 574.91$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Chargers | 15c | 536.76$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.16 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Rams | 10c | 510.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.09 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Chargers | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Rams | 10c | 437.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.22 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Chargers | 61c | 420$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.4 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rams | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Chargers | 70c | 391.03$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.31 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Chargers | 75c | 379.95$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.67 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rams | 30c | 373.28$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.58 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rams | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Rams | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Rams | 28c | 352.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…d4bfbacked Rams | 79c | 328.4$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rams | 30c | 328.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.35 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rams | 35c | 305$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.28 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…7a36backed Rams | 25c | 301.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Chargers | 73c | 273.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Rams | 27c | 237.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.38 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Chargers | 74c | 219$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.06 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rams | 24c | 218.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.22 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Rams | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 263 | 31.6%83 W · 180 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rams | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.99 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rams | 10c | 182.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.66 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Rams | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.65 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Rams | 48c | 144.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Chargers | 55c | 126.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Rams | 30c | 108.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +12.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Rams | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rams | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Chargers | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -9.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Rams | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rams | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Rams | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Chargers | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Chargers | 53c | 72.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Chargers | 72c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Rams | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Chargers | 62c | 62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Rams | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…1c7bbacked Rams | 27c | 55.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Chargers | 76c | 53.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Rams | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3533…40fdbacked Chargers | 71c | 44.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rams | 26c | 44.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…e199backed Chargers | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Rams | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Chargers | 72c | 38.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 207 | 60.9%126 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…b321backed Chargers | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Chargers | 65c | 16.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.