College Football · resolved market
Jacksonville State vs. UCF
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17891fbe3a8ed0419f809037a3dfdd4633c3f94e1a5df38953870fb02c5a1402
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCFof Jacksonville State, UCF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed UCF | 44c | 5,573$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,094.8 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Jacksonville State | 66c | 2,885$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.99 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed UCF | 67c | 1,591$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.46 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Jacksonville State | 45c | 1,527$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.16 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked UCF | 43c | 1,158$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.14 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UCF | 68c | 1,131$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.83 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Jacksonville State | 12c | 1,045$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.19 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Jacksonville State | 10c | 1,012$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Jacksonville State | 50c | 985.47$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.17 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Jacksonville State | 9c | 927.47$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Jacksonville State | 34c | 891.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Jacksonville State | 26c | 855.56$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Jacksonville State | 8c | 724.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…b2f8backed Jacksonville State | 41c | 688.59$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Jacksonville State | 3c | 673.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea3…0708backed Jacksonville State | 29c | 522.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Jacksonville State | 11c | 438.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Jacksonville State | 20c | 331.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jacksonville State | 25c | 328.01$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Jacksonville State | 9c | 299.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Jacksonville State | 9c | 213.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Jacksonville State | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Jacksonville State | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Jacksonville State | 13c | 157.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Jacksonville State | 10c | 138$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Jacksonville State | 22c | 121.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Jacksonville State | 11c | 118.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x431b…1d9cbacked Jacksonville State | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Jacksonville State | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Jacksonville State | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Jacksonville State | 15c | 99.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Jacksonville State | 17c | 94.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Jacksonville State | 38c | 79.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed UCF | 67c | 57.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed Jacksonville State | 38c | 33.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Jacksonville State | 47c | 28.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbae5…45e3backed Jacksonville State | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.