NFL · resolved market
Buccaneers vs. Steelers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6488c5f49e86163d1fc72c2145af17b5c3c49f3e99f92bbc0c06aa557d26e930
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Buccaneers of Buccaneers , Steelers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Buccaneers | 56c | 2,340$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.67 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Steelers | 44c | 2,274$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Steelers | 44c | 1,723$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.5 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Steelers | 5c | 1,120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Buccaneers | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Buccaneers | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +12.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Steelers | 3c | 583$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Steelers | 43c | 481.09$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.09 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Buccaneers | 60c | 418.78$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.25 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Steelers | 44c | 375$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Steelers | 32c | 274.56$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Buccaneers | 58c | 234.33$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.42 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Buccaneers | 54c | 233.38$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Buccaneers | 58c | 232.76$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Steelers | 44c | 229.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Steelers | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Steelers | 45c | 222.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Buccaneers | 53c | 214$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.58 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Steelers | 47c | 214$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.58 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Steelers | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Steelers | 27c | 182.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Steelers | 41c | 156.27$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed Buccaneers | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…b14abacked Steelers | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Steelers | 31c | 105.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Steelers | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Buccaneers | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Steelers | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Steelers | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…e80ebacked Steelers | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…5670backed Buccaneers | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Steelers | 42c | 75.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Buccaneers | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Buccaneers | 58c | 64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -9.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Steelers | 36c | 62.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Steelers | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Steelers | 43c | 57.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Steelers | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8663…35e7backed Steelers | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Buccaneers | 54c | 43.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Steelers | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Buccaneers | 46c | 43.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Buccaneers | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…e199backed Buccaneers | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Steelers | 42c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Buccaneers | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Buccaneers | 59c | 26.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.