College Football · resolved market
Miami (OH) vs. Wisconsin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe611f6739b8d3e9dcdde2e4f89236107d3b32e025988c1d5a8ec8a72a53b4e20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wisconsinof Miami (OH), Wisconsin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Miami (OH) | 9c | 6,180$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.17 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Miami (OH) | 14c | 4,946$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.3 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Miami (OH) | 8c | 3,787$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.96 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Miami (OH) | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Miami (OH) | 10c | 1,761$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.12 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Miami (OH) | 11c | 999.86$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Miami (OH) | 14c | 800$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked Miami (OH) | 8c | 690.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Miami (OH) | 9c | 559.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Miami (OH) | 9c | 299.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Miami (OH) | 11c | 215$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Miami (OH) | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Miami (OH) | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Miami (OH) | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Miami (OH) | 11c | 187.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Miami (OH) | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Miami (OH) | 12c | 175.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Miami (OH) | 13c | 153.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Miami (OH) | 11c | 134.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Miami (OH) | 14c | 129.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Miami (OH) | 10c | 108.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Miami (OH) | 12c | 100.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Miami (OH) | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.