Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester win on 2025-01-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf582d7e93f892df845ef4012690dd7f05b3436791c7880d8aaed766c1834eba0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 20c | 7,923$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.14 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 18c | 3,450$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 62c | 1,548$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.91 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 36c | 1,277$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.1 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad01…0400backed Yes | 32c | 1,101$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.41 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 57c | 992.99$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.4 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 5c | 762.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.69 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…12d5backed Yes | 15c | 749.97$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 37cpaid | +188.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 71c | 709.77$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.11 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 10c | 611.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.47 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked No | 39c | 585$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 18c | 543.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.86 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 15c | 414.07$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.91 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 52c | 385.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29f…5ccabacked Yes | 13c | 324.39$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +336.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 25c | 322.3$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.21 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 16c | 317.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.81 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 9c | 303.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.78 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Yes | 17c | 293.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.63 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4972…a42dbacked Yes | 75c | 286.65$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 39c | 268.15$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.1 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 56c | 266.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 15c | 259.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.39 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…0594backed Yes | 17c | 230.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa693…cf36backed Yes | 52c | 223.68$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…d100backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 17c | 194.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.58 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Yes | 56c | 194.26$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.53 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…3412backed Yes | 17c | 182.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed No | 20c | 173.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe468…926ebacked Yes | 56c | 151.79$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7530…311bbacked Yes | 16c | 122.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 30cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed Yes | 75c | 118.84$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Yes | 52c | 109.03$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 18c | 105.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.56 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Yes | 16c | 103.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.97 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Yes | 16c | 91.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 50c | 89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 33c | 78.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.29 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 52c | 74.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…6f34backed No | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87a0…4e12backed Yes | 75c | 67.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…1ad8backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…806fbacked No | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe2…00ebbacked No | 39c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38c…3ee7backed Yes | 45c | 33.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 26 | 84.6%22 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Yes | 54c | 24.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bb…8a25backed Yes | 75c | 17.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester win on 2025-01-26?this page
- Will Tottenham vs. Leicester end in a draw?No won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-01-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.