Premier League · resolved market
Will Tottenham vs. Leicester end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b0a6d5bebea10ac7a84b1042875627941a216969b9d6b6b9453cd3cac52968d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 18c | 1,250$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 6c | 1,170$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 73c | 1,048$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.52 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2135…71cdbacked Yes | 20c | 818.65$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 33c | 815.12$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.83 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 32c | 620.17$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.45 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10bd…3a02backed Yes | 32c | 309.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…11b5backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 33c | 300$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 22c | 275.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 18c | 254.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad01…0400backed Yes | 19c | 221.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked No | 72c | 212.48$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 18c | 173.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 76c | 137.52$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7530…311bbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 30cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +40%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 15c | 99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 17c | 90.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…a328backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…807bbacked Yes | 21c | 90.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 76c | 70.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 26 | 84.6%22 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…8c47backed Yes | 19c | 53.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Yes | 27c | 51.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd688…b771backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…b133backed Yes | 32c | 47.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…d100backed No | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 25c | 43.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…4831backed No | 79c | 29.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 79c | 23.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham vs. Leicester end in a draw?this page
- Will Leicester win on 2025-01-26?Yes won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-01-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.