MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b4df4f0983bc355a62fe40ead0f86f20e62bdc91bc0db400d88ee377b5a7f16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Brewers, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $515,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $544,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $515,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 544 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Nationals | 43c | 295,245$126,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126,302.78 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Brewers | 59c | 138,303$80,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,324.48 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Brewers | 58c | 38,176$22,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,135.3 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Brewers | 57c | 36,500$20,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,695 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Brewers | 57c | 24,417$13,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,499.49 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Brewers | 57c | 18,096$10,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,781.28 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 51c | 15,060$7,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,737.46 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Nationals | 45c | 11,392$5,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,093.52 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Brewers | 58c | 11,317$6,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,753.24 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Brewers | 45c | 11,212$5,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,166.52 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Brewers | 59c | 8,237$4,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.9 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Brewers | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Nationals | 42c | 7,375$3,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,087.12 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed Brewers | 61c | 7,045$4,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.96 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Brewers | 55c | 6,923$3,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146.05 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Brewers | 54c | 6,539$3,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.56 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Brewers | 59c | 6,465$3,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.6 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Nationals | 41c | 6,254$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.02 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Brewers | 60c | 5,629$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.08 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Nationals | 30c | 5,500$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.96 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Nationals | 41c | 5,133$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.53 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Brewers | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nationals | 0c | 4,771$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Nationals | 41c | 4,310$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.94 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Brewers | 60c | 4,201$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.14 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Nationals | 40c | 4,094$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.64 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 33c | 4,018$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.64 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Nationals | 0c | 4,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Brewers | 57c | 3,800$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Brewers | 59c | 3,775$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.75 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 58c | 3,572$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.63 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Nationals | 5c | 3,166$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Brewers | 58c | 3,080$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.91 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Brewers | 59c | 3,029$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.88 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…9b76backed Brewers | 58c | 2,700$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Nationals | 1c | 2,333$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Brewers | 57c | 2,300$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Brewers | 58c | 2,184$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.28 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Brewers | 60c | 2,155$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.95 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Nationals | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Brewers | 56c | 1,860$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.49 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Nationals | 28c | 1,824$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.58 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Nationals | 48c | 1,567$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.1 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brewers | 59c | 1,471$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.11 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Brewers | 57c | 1,214$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.16 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 40c | 1,136$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.21 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Nationals | 40c | 1,105$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 40c | 1,041$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.4 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…724abacked Nationals | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Brewers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…3592backed Brewers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x771b…932cbacked Nationals | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f9…d179backed Nationals | 42c | 900$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Nationals | 41c | 899.81$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.92 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Nationals | 43c | 850.72$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.81 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…afc7backed Brewers | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Nationals | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Brewers | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Nationals | 39c | 783$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.37 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Nationals | 41c | 778.5$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.19 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Brewers | 59c | 700$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Brewers | 56c | 699.99$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.99 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Nationals | 42c | 694.68$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.69 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Brewers | 56c | 680$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.27 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Nationals | 41c | 655.02$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.56 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Brewers | 58c | 636$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.51 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b6…3263backed Nationals | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x970c…b40dbacked Nationals | 41c | 549.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Nationals | 30c | 525.57$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.97 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Brewers | 59c | 524.69$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.12 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Brewers | 59c | 504.92$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.02 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Nationals | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Nationals | 41c | 499.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 42c | 499.94$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Nationals | 41c | 495.12$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Brewers | 44c | 488.64$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.64 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Brewers | 58c | 450$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Brewers | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Nationals | 42c | 411.9$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Nationals | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Brewers | 54c | 396.89$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.93 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Brewers | 59c | 389.07$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.52 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers | 65c | 368.17$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.26 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Nationals | 13c | 350$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nationals | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 42c | 350$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8665…85ecbacked Brewers | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…0f19backed Nationals | 43c | 325.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Brewers | 58c | 292.97$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.05 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Brewers | 59c | 280.51$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.01 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Brewers | 54c | 268.16$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.16 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Nationals | 43c | 265.62$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.58 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Brewers | 58c | 265.16$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.37 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5a61backed Nationals | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Nationals | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Nationals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6333…07f0backed Nationals | 42c | 235.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Nationals | 19c | 229.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers | 58c | 224.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.14 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.