Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-09-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1b429647b1a4fb56441bdac364d2b1d02e6fca20be87581405d09db6233ef29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 48c | 22,528$10,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,769.48 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 52c | 10,981$5,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,235.58 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Yes | 12c | 1,312$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 46c | 1,310$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.43 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 578$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.56 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 53c | 490.57$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No | 46c | 210$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 37c | 201.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7914…d719backed Yes | 56c | 168.15$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 59c | 140$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 52c | 121.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 52c | 94.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 49c | 83.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 46c | 76.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 41c | 50.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf623…8eafbacked Yes | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 44c | 28.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 46c | 21.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-09-28?this page
- Will FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SC Heerenveen win on 2025-09-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.